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Mozambique: Government Likely to Meet Most of Its 2007 Targets
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Agencia de Informacao de Mocambique (Maputo)
5 December 2007
Posted to the web 5 December 2007
Maputo
The Mozambican government is on target for meeting most of the targets laid down in its Economic and Social Plan for 2007.
Addressing the country's parliament, the Assembly of the Republic, on Wednesday, Prime Minister Luisa Diogo noted that the plan had set a target for a seven per cent growth in Gross Domestic Product. This seems likely to be surpassed, since the figures for the first six months show that the Mozambican economy was growing at a rate of 8.8 per cent a year.
The plan also envisaged a growth in commodity exports of nine per cent, reached 2.292 billion US dollars. This figure too looks set to be comfortably surpassed, since up to September the country had exported goods worth 1.844 billion dollars.
Over three quarters (76.6 per cent) of these export earnings came from just three products - the aluminium ingots produced at the MOZAL smelter on the outskirts of Maputo, the natural gas piped from Inhambane province to South Africa, and electricity, mostly produced at the Cahora Bassa dam on the Zambezi and sold to South Africa and Zimbabwe.
The plan called for net international reserves sufficient to cover imports of goods and services for four months. Diogo said that currently the reserves cover five months of imports.
The Mozambican currency, the metical, showed gains against both the US dollar and the South African rand. By September, the metical had appreciated by 1.1 per cent against the dollar and 2.1 per cent against the rand.
Diogo recalled that one of the government's main goals was to establish conditions to make investment in Mozambique attractive - and by October new investment projects valued at over 7.3 billion dollars had been approved. (But one project, the building of an oil refinery at Nacala-a-Velha, in the northern province of Nampula, accounts for five billion dollars of this).
When it comes to the inflation rate, there must be some doubt as to whether the government will meet its target for an average annual rate of six per cent. Diogo said that inflation from January to October had reached 5.3 per cent.
In theory, the six per cent target is within reach. In practice, many businesses tend to hike their prices as the festive season approaches, producing a spike in the inflation figures in December.
As for education, in 2007 a further 722 schools began operating - 677 primary schools, and 45 secondary schools.
Diogo pointed out that economic success was achieved despite a series of disasters at the start of the year - including major flooding in the Zambezi valley, Cyclone Favio, that devastated parts of Inhambane and Sofala provinces, and the explosions of obsolete weaponry at a military arsenal in the Maputo suburb of Malhazine, which cost 105 lives, and destroyed or damaged many hundreds of buildings.
The government had to move quickly to cope with these unpredictable events, said the Prime Minister, saving lives in the flood affected zones, embarking on resettlement programmes for flood and cyclone victims, and rebuilding the homes destroyed by the Malhazine explosions.
Also beyond the government's control was the rise in oil prices.
Diogo noted that at the end of 2006 the price was 59 dollars a barrel, and today the average price is 87 dollars a barrel.
"Considering that the Mozambican economy is highly dependent on imported fuels, this situation has negative impacts on the normal functioning of our economy", she said. "During parts of the year there were constant rises in the price of fuel on the internal market".
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The government, she added, had thus adopted "policy measures to improve constantly domestic macro-economic management, so as to control inflation and minimise the effects on the costs of production".
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| Copyright © 2007 Agencia de Informacao de Mocambique. All rights reserved. Distributed by AllAfrica Global Media (allAfrica.com). To contact the copyright holder directly for corrections -- or for permission to republish or make other authorized use of this material, click here. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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