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Ethiopia: Govt Needs to Curb Spending As 'Imbalances' Grow - IMF
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The Daily Monitor (Addis Ababa)
24 July 2008
Posted to the web 25 July 2008
Addis Abeba
It is empirical that the Ethiopian government curbed spending to bring inflation under control following signs of "growing macroeconomic imbalances," IMF said on Tuesday.
According to the monetary fund, "forceful policy tightening" is needed to slow inflation and to "ensure that inflation expectations do not become ingrained," "Lower government spending will help to cut domestic demand, which has exceeded production in the economy and added to price pressures," the Washington-based lender said in a report published on its Web site.
The report said Inflation in Ethiopia, Africa's biggest coffee producer, probably averaged 22 percent in the fiscal year to July 7, up from 16 percent in the previous 12 months.
"Recent signs of growing macroeconomic imbalances manifested as higher inflation and a weakening of the balance of payments suggest that demand is running ahead of capacity expansion," the report indicated.
Record oil prices have boosted imports, cutting foreign currency reserves that now cover about 1.5 months of import requirements, compared with an average of 2.1 months last year, according to IMF.
Economic growth in the east African nation probably slowed to 8.4 percent in the 2008 fiscal year from 11.4 percent in the previous 12 months, the IMF said.
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With a population of about 77 million, Ethiopia earns almost half its income from agriculture.
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