SW Radio Africa (London)
Alex Bell
12 November 2008
Fears of social unrest in Zimbabwe are growing, as swelling numbers of Zimbabweans become daily victims of the crash of the local currency.
The Zimbabwe dollar hit an all time low this week, plummeting to a trading value of an average Z$28,4 quadrillion to the U.S. dollar - triggering another round of massive price increases. Analysts have said the latest collapse of the currency was being driven by the Southern African Development Community's (SADC) weekend ruling on the political impasse between ZANU PF and the MDC - with the regional body overtly siding with Robert Mugabe.
As the countries politicians have continued to wage a war of words in the form of negotiations over a unity government, Zimbabweans have been fighting daily battles triggered by the devastating economic crisis. The dollar has become valueless, in a country where hard currency is now the only acceptable form of payment. The Reserve Bank's decision to suspend the online RTGS payment system has seen many businesses struggle to stay afloat, while at the same time Zimbabweans spend days in bank queues to try to withdraw enough money to pay their bills in cash. Cheques are not accepted because of the daily changing rate of the Zimbabwe dollar, leaving people with money in the bank, but unable to buy food or pay their bills.
The withdrawal limits themselves have twice been raised by the central bank, and every increase has seen immediate price increases across the country. At the same time, most shops have stopped accepting the local dollar, and empty shelves are testimony to a collapsed economy. The South African rand and the US dollar are now the most common forms of currency, but for those who are unable to access forex, this means they will be unable to survive.
Independent economic analyst John Robertson agreed on Wednesday that the "imminent crash of the dollar has clearly already happened." He explained that the levels of malnutrition and illness are daily growing "because people are unable to buy the goods they need to stay healthy," and people are losing patience with the powers that be.
Robertson said the Zimbabwe dollar is "no longer in any way useful" and explained that the only vaguely successful businesses are those trading in forex. He added that the atmosphere on the streets is tense "as people are waiting for everything else to come crashing down."
"People are angry that the government has let the economy get to this point," Robertson explained. "We are on the verge of total social unrest."
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Elder - it is sad to read of the despondency in your message knowing full well that you are right - the people are exhausted and the 'Prague Spring' resulting from the March 2007 election has probably been snuffed out with the events of the last week-end.
One subject that has not been discussed on this site, but which I am certain exists, is the fear that must be pervading even the most ardent of Mugabe's supporters right now. They must know now that the process of collapse of Zimbabwe as a modern functioning state is accelerating and that nothing of the old order will survive when change eventuates.
To be honest, the 'credit crunch' will highlight the level of self-suficiency reached in Zimbabwe and the rest of the motherland. Luxuries are fine once the basic necessities of life have been put in place. The opposite of 'poverty is SELF-SUFFICIENCY' We need to keep that goal in sight if we are to survive...It is dangerous depending on outsiders for FOOD and HEALTH especially!
In the light of the fact that the United Nations World Food Programme and other international NGO's are feeding half of Zimbabwe's population, the idea that Zimbabwe is being forced into self sufficiency is utter drivel. Like the Zim $, comment on the Zim situation has now reached a new low.
Zimbabeans are already past self sufficiency, this has already been seen. They need urgent help and retaining the present currupt govenment is not going to help. To have partizan police/army/war-0vets doing the distribution is scandalous and a disservice to the populous. Aid Organisation must be autonamous and be allowed to operate without hinderance in any form. They must be allowed access to their funds that have been deposited to ensure disribution of these foods, medicines, etc. If Mugabe refuses to do this, for any reason (even claiming that the aid organisations are political) then these organisations must pack up and leave. If Mugabe has a problem with aid organisations in any way then meet with the appropriate people and disicuss it like any civilised person would. By co-operating with themhe would see fruits by way of a happier population. By sewing discord between parties will only make the situation worse and cause strife. By being partizan he will ony show immaturity and a sefless strugle to hold onto power.
Katz, You foreigners are a problem, you are really a thorn in the flesh, you distort everything including the dates when elections were held just to score cheap points. There were no elections in March 2007. Since 2000 you have been predicting the collapse of Zimbabwe to no avail.
Christopher Dell, the former US Amb to Zimbabwe predicted that something was going to happen by July 2007, nothing happened. He shifted the dates to Dec '07, again nothing happened. He was hurriedly ejected from Zimbabwe and posted to Kabul because of his failure to give Washington a correct assessment of the situation in Zimbabwe.
In came James McGee (the black brother with an imperialist heart) and again he started giving the same predictions that resulted in his colleague being fired. McGee informed Tsvangirai that he was going to win the March elections by more than 60%. His assessment was based on the devastating effect that the sanctions, his regime imposed, had on the people of Zimbabwean. Tsvangirai only managed 47% while his party got a mere 43%. The difference was too wide for a person who gets intelligence reports from more than 200 CIA operatives embedded with different NGOs and civil society organisations in Zimbabwe.
McGee had to pull Tsvangirai by the leash around his neck after the latter had experienced the shock of his life - defeat at the hands of a revolutionary party Zanu pf. McGee intervene once again to avoid heart attack for Tsvangirai who was facing imminent thrashing on 27 June. The circus did not end there, McGee has since decided to swing with the stooge to cool down the BP and in between swings he has advised the idiot not to attend SADC Summits for fear of the humiliation that would come therefrom.
The shocker came recently in South Africa,despite intense lobbying of SADC leaders by McGee and Dell, when SADC ruled in favour of forming a GNU. McGee, just like Dell before him, does not stop predicting. He told Tsvangirai not to follow through with implementation of the GNU in anticipation of the fall of the Zimbabwe govt by Dec 2008. Thus, most people are wondering why Tsvangirai is procrastinating like this when he signed the deal knowing too well what it means to be in a Govt of National Unity and what the implications were.
Plan B is still on the table (Americans are known for not removing plans on the table) and it involves military invasion from Botswana which has become a willing tool of the British and the Americans. Heavily armed militias are ready for deployment to start an insurgency should plan A fail. It happened in Angola, it happened in Mozambique, it is happening right now in DRCongo and is about to happen in Zimbabwe.
We await the arrival of Dec'08, for it is just by the corner, to see where they will move the dates to this time, but by then McGee might be history to Zimbabwe and its people - the Obama fever. And Obama seems not to favour wars and unilateralism that characterised and defined the outgoing Bush regime.
No, no, Takunya, you have it all wrong. SADC was not acting in cahoots with old man Bob. SADC was, in fact, listening to McGee and our white brother in a black skin, Tsvangi.
McGee and Tsvangi's aim is to let as many Zimbabweans die as possible to show other countries what happens when you f@ck with the west. (Of course, Morgan is being well compensated for selling out so many of his fellow countrymen).
The easiest way to do this is to cut off all aid, deploy sanctions and allow Bob to stay in office. Bob then becomes the perfect scapegoat for all Zim's problems. Why do you think Bob still has a job? If the west really wanted him out, they could have done so long ago.
No one has ever wanted to take power away from Bob: he is fulfilling his media created role as "dictator" and "killer of the people" perfectly while showing the rest of the region what happens when you try to take stuff from the west.
All the other SADC countries know that this is the situation, but they're scared that if they try to help Zim by giving the ministry to the MDC, they'll be next. That's why they've decided to go along with mad old Bob's plan of sharing the ministry.
Zim is on its own and all of SADC is looking on to see the final phases of an unfolding train wreck, scared out of their wits at what the west can do without even one shot being fired.
On a personal note: It's actually quite sad to see you here, Takunya, railing against the west and Morgan. An old black man being paid a pittance by ZANU to sit in front of his computer and toe the party line on websites. Your lack of intelligence and pathetic arguments would actually be amusing if the situation wasn't so sad and pathetic.
You must probably find solace in the fact that at least you're helping the west to destroy your country by supporting Bob.
Well, I must go and have some steak and a few glasses of wine. Enjoy you sadza and cholera infested water, old man.
Regards
Blague
Johnj (Blague), This time you are far off the mark on a number of issues. Firstly, nobody said SADC acted in cohorts with any one. If anything SADC acted in cohorts with the deal it negotiated. It does not favour any of the three parties involved in the deal.
Secondly, although you sarcastically put it, I am afraid it is true that McGee and Tsvangirai aim to see as many Zimbabweans as possible die from hunger and disease, but I differ with you on the ultimate aim - they aim to effect regime change in Zimbabwe.
If they did not want regime change as you say why are they training militias for an insurgency war? Why "final push" if the idea was not to remove President Mugabe from power? Why hire Ari Ben Manashe to assassinate the President? Why shout at the top of ones' voice "...go peacefully or we will remove you violently.."?
You are also wrong on the issue of sharing the ministry of Home Affairs. This proposals was first suggested by Tsvangirai himself and seconded by Mutambara who went further to suggest rotational heading of the ministry. President Mugabe only agreed to it after being persuaded by President Mbeki.
Your prediction of a "train wreck" will come to pass just like all others before it. McGee, and Dell before him, made numerous predictions about Zimbabwe but they all remained what they are - predictions without substance. With more than 200 CIA and MI5 spies embedded with NGOs and Civil Society, they failed dismally to foretell what is going to happen in Zimbabwe and will continue to fail in that regard.
On a personal note,It is actually pleasing to note that there is someone out there who recognises that Takunya is fighting a just war, is protecting the Zimbabwean nation and the revolution. I thank you for taking your time, being glued to your sceen reading Takunya's posts and having to miss your time for steak and glasses of wine. That in itself is satisfying to me, not to mention the fact that we are winning the war against you and the imperial west.
Else where I outlined the victories we have achieved so far and the journey we have travelled as a country and what remains to be covered. We are almost at the tip of the mountain, the difficult part is what we have covered. And you, Johnj (Blague), will live to witness our victory celebrations with Bob at the very beginning of the procession.
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True! Social unrest started a decade ago when Mugabe lost the referendum and employed venomous Jonathna Moyo and "freedom fighters" like Chinotimba to remain in power against popular will. Then he invaded farms to divert attention and that way got himself another 5 years. Now an equally rabbid Charamba keeps the evil steam engine rumbling on. Joking "Mbeki" added a year to the circus and now SADC has sealed the fate of a population already in demise. The end is now. There will be no unrest. Everyone is very weary. Simply hopelessness and death, tyranny cementing its grip in the region, former Zimbabwe being its reference point.