Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations/United Nations World Food Programme (Rome)

Zimbabwe: Higher Production But Food Insecurity Persists

25 June 2009


press release

High food insecurity persists in Zimbabwe in spite of improvements in agricultural production and a more liberal import policy this year, according to a report issued today by the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and the World Food Programme (WFP).

Good rainfall meant 2009 production of the staple crop, maize, is estimated to  have  more than doubled - to 1.14 million metric tonnes - an increase of 130 percent on the record low harvest of 2008, the report said. But the report  also  includes  forecast  production of winter-season wheat of only about  12,000  tonnes,  the  lowest  ever,  reflecting  the  high  cost  of fertilizers and quality seeds, farmers’ lack of financial liquidity and the uncertainty of the electricity supply for irrigation.

In March 2009, the Government of Zimbabwe abandoned the Zimbabwe dollar and announced  the  liberalization  of most sectors of the economy. Adoption of the  US  dollar  and South African rand as legal currencies has brought the annual rate of inflation down to zero from its 2008 high, calculated by the World Bank at 56 million percent.

Grain  market reform includes free movement and buying and selling of grain in  the country, removal of import duties and designation of the government Grain  Marketing  Board as a buyer of last resort to maintain a floor price for  maize  and  protect domestic producers. This has filled the shops with products  and  reduced prices. Still, for most households without access to foreign currency, basic necessities remain out of reach.

"Liberalization  of  the  grain  market  is  the most important change in a decade  for  the  improvement  of agriculture sector in Zimbabwe," said FAO Economist  Kisan  Gunjal,  co-leader of the UN mission to Zimbabwe in early May  that  produced  the  report.  “But  the  full  impact of the reform on production next season remains to be seen, especially in light of financial liquidity constraints and other problems of economic transition."

"This  year’s  improved  harvest  comes after two consecutive years of poor production,"  said  WFP’s  Jan  Delbaere,  also a co-leader of the mission. "Having  depleted  their food stocks and sold livestock and other assets to cope  with  the  effects  of recent crises, many rural households are still struggling to survive."

The  significantly better cereal production comes in spite of the fact that inputs  such  as  quality  seeds  and  fertilizer  were in short supply and expensive.  However,  production  at  household  level  did  not  reach its potential  due  to use of retained grain, including some food aid, as seed, and  lack  of  fertilizers,  fuel and draught power, which resulted in late planting and cultivation of smaller plots by subsistence farmers.

The report provisionally estimates that about 2.8 million people will face food shortages in the 2009/10 marketing year (April/March) and will require some 228,000  tonnes of food assistance, including 190,000 of cereals. The mission  cautions, however, that these figures may need to be revised based on  the findings of a proposed Zimbabwe Vulnerability Assessment Committee assessment in August.

The report estimates total domestic cereal availability for 2009/10 at 1.39 million  tonnes  against  a  projected  total  utilization  of 2.07 million tonnes, leaving an import requirement of 680,000 tonnes. To meet this gap, cereal  imports  of about 500,000 tonnes, mostly by the private sector, are expected, providing there are no import restrictions.

Given  the  uncertainty  of  imports  in  the new economic environment, the mission  recommends  that the national cereal balance sheet be reviewed and updated periodically.

The mission recommends emergency assistance by the Government and the international community in acquiring  fertilizer and quality seed for delivery in September 2009, and dipping chemicals for the control of tick-borne livestock diseases.

Investing in sustainable food production in Zimbabwe will require re-establishment  of  its domestic seed industry, promotion of conservation agriculture, rehabilitation  of irrigation facilities, and support to farm mechanization and agricultural extension, the report concluded.

WFP is the world's largest humanitarian agency and the UN’s frontline agency for hunger solutions. In 2009, WFP aims to feed 105 million people in 74 countries.

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