The East African (Nairobi)

East Africa: How War Boosts Kenya's Regional, Global Clout

Kenya's war, and Burundi and Uganda's aggressive peacekeeping in Somalia, are having a far-reaching and unintended impact inside the East African Community countries.

While the three EAC countries all entered troubled Somalia to save it, there are signs that it is Somalia that is changing the way these countries do business at home.

The effect of the Somalia war, especially the activities of Al Shabaab, are even being felt in countries like Tanzania -- which is not involved either as a peacekeeper or fighting force in Somalia -- through the number of its young people being recruited into the militant group's regional network. Last week, Home Affairs Minister Shamsi Vuai Nadodha announced that 10 Tanzanians had been arrested in Mogadishu fighting alongside the Shabaab.

While Kenya's entry into the Somalia fray has its critics, it has kicked off a wave of nationalist sabre-rattling on the Internet. Not surprising, because though Kenya is the EAC's leading economy, it was largely viewed as a wimpish nation, with an untested military led by pampered generals growing potbellied in luxury and never having to worry about firing a shot in anger.

Indeed, in a leaked US diplomatic cable published on the whistleblower website Wikileaks, Uganda's President Yoweri Museveni is reported by US diplomats in Kampala to have pooh-poohed the Kenya army's mettle and ability to do anything about Somali insurgents. Museveni is reported as describing the Kenyan military as a "career army" and wondering about their ability to take on bush fighters. "Is Kenya used to fighting like this [bush and guerrilla warfare]? Would Kenya be able to provide logistical support to its Somali allies?" Museveni reportedly wondered.

Because of that view, which similar leaked US cables reveal are shared by Ethiopia's Prime Minister Meles Zenawi, the meeting in Nairobi last week between President Mwai Kibaki, Museveni and Somalia's President Sharif Sheikh Ahmed would have been unthinkable just two months ago. When it came to heavy lifting on Somalia, it was considered that Kenya had nothing useful to contribute.

In a few weeks, all that has changed.

Writing in Uganda's main independent daily, the Daily Monitor (a sister publication of The EastAfrican), Member of Parliament Capt Michael Mukula noted, "Kenya has displayed that it is not a mere careerist. Its military hardware display inside Somalia has certainly raised eyebrows among regional military strategists."

War brings with it death and destruction, but its ability to boost a country's diplomatic standing has been displayed many times in the region.Burundi, war-wracked, poor, and obscure, muscled up internationally when it became the only other country to send peacekeeping troops to joins the Ugandans in Amisom, the African Union peacekeeping mission in Somalia.

Today Burundi, which used to be relegated to the back of the room, gets a front seat at international meetings on Somalia and peacekeeping in Africa.

By the time Burundi arrived at the table, equally tiny Rwanda had been punching above its weight for years, particularly after its lead role in ousting Congo dictator Mobutu Sese Seko in 1997, and the sway it held over its neighbour, which is 27 times its size, as an imperial overlord of sorts for some years after that.

Rwanda had entered Congo to pursue the forces that carried out the 1994 genocide in the country, in which nearly one million people were killed. They had regrouped inside Congo, from where they were launching periodic attacks on Rwanda.

It was a campaign that ended in controversy, with Rwandan forces being accused of human-rights abuses and plunder. Rwanda, the saying goes, bit off and chewed up Congo, but could not quite swallow it.

Some observers think that Burundi -- and possibly Uganda -- got their appetite for peacekeeping from watching how Rwanda's peacekeeping role in Sudan's western Darfur region reversed its fortunes.

Rwanda sent the first main body of troops for the UN peacekeeping force in Sudan, UNMIS, in 2005. A grateful international community immediately became reluctant to criticise Rwanda's Congo role. Before long, when Rwanda sneezed on Sudan peacekeeping, everyone caught a cold.

This was demonstrated dramatically last year, when a draft UN human-rights report accusing Rwanda of massacring civilians in Congo in the late 1990s was leaked. The report even hinted that Rwanda troops might have committed "genocide."

Kigali hit the roof, and threatened to withdraw its forces from the Darfur peacekeeping mission. Rwanda's argument was that if the UN believed its troops had committed genocide, then they were unworthy of being in a peace mission to prevent genocide.

A withdrawal would have effectively collapsed the mission. The UN panicked. In a first, Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon interrupted a European visit, hopped on a plane, and headed to Kigali to press the flesh with President Paul Kagame and massage wounded feelings.

The UN said the report was a work in progress, and hadn't been reviewed.

In the end, its release was delayed, and a "balanced" version was what eventually saw the light of day and made it into the official record.

Up to that point, it was only countries like the US or China that had the clout to get that kind of result.

As Kenya savours the newfound external attention and respect as a result of the war, it has to contend with several domestic challenges.

Because, unlike Uganda and Burundi, it shares a border with Somalia, its security measures to foil possible Al Shabaab suicide bombers have been more extensive.

Unusually, over the past three weeks, worshippers arriving for Sunday prayers found that they had to undergo security checks before entering the Lord's house.

Most of the schools in Nairobi where the elite take their children have introduced detectors, and guards are peeking under cars with mirrors.

There is virtually no hospital, mall, or office building in Nairobi that you can enter without being frisked, scanned, or having your car checked.However, these are petty changes that will not change society much.

Meanwhile, in the past few weeks Kenyans have seen more photographs of soldiers and weaponry, and heard army chiefs and spokesman speak, than they have for all of the past 15 years -- including the period of post-election violence in 2008.

A national aversion to a high profile role for the military could just disappear in the process.

For Uganda, Somalia has been a particular blessing. Like Rwanda's, the Uganda army, the UPDF, had its image battered by its adventures in DR Congo, where it was eventually condemned as a pillaging and murderous force.

A senior military officer in Uganda told The EastAfrican, "Somalia was a blessing. It has allowed our army to again be seen as heroic at home, and respected abroad".

Nothing could be more different than the way the Uganda soldiers who died in Congo, and those who die in Somalia, are treated. Most of the DRC casualties were buried in the jungles there. The Somalia casualties are returned home and given a decent burial.

Because the DRC campaign eventually became a personalised war, and attracted too many rogue officers out to cut down forests for timber or take over a diamond or gold mine, there was a massive attack on the formal structures of the UPDF and the military fell into disarray.

The Amisom mission, because it involves working with AU institutions, Nato, the US, and co-ordinating with Burundi, forced Uganda to appoint its better officers and to manage the army professionally. Somalia, then, saved the UPDF from becoming a bandit force.

An Amisom official told The EastAfrican, "In the fullness of time, Somalia could enable regional integration in ways that will surprise us."That moment might be here already. Unlike Rwanda, which had closer links to the older EAC countries (Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda), Burundi had been more properly a Central African country that East Africa paid little attention to.

For a long time, the Somalia question was an issue for the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (Igad), comprising Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Sudan, Somalia, Sudan, and Uganda. Burundi's role in Amisom drew it close into an IGAD, and lately EAC, project and did a lot to turn it into an East African country.

The involvement of EAC countries in war or peacekeeping in Sudan and Somalia, has also coloured their outlook toward the expansion of the Community.

In June, the Republic of Sudan (Khartoum) surprised the region when it formally applied to join the EAC, ahead of the new nation of South Sudan, which was considered a more "natural" and "logical" future candidate.

Khartoum's bid received a cold reception from Uganda, which has had issues with the Sudan government, including its long-time support for the murderous Lord's Resistance Army rebels. Tanzania also reportedly baulked.

Kenya and Rwanda were more open to the idea, and suggested that due diligence be done by the EAC to establish whether the Republic of Sudan met the standard for membership.

Empathetic Kagame

Of the EAC presidents, the one who has most amplified the need to respond to Khartoum's courtship objectively, is Kagame.

That is no accident, because Kagame has a peacekeeping force in Darfur, and officers in Khartoum and South Sudan. He is therefore more likely to be empathetic to Khartoum, because a relationship between Sudan and the EAC that eventually leads to a reduction of conflict, would also partly be a success for the Rwanda peace mission.

It is early days, and there are still many twists and turns to come in the Somalia conflict. For one, Kenya government officials have been warning of anti-Somali sentiment, arguing that a distinction needs to be made between Kenyan-Somali and Somalia-Somalis -- the latter remain loyal, and many are playing a prominent role in the Kenya campaign.

They are right to be concerned, because the Shabaab have sought to rally their base by saying Somalia has been invaded by a "coalition of Christian armies."

The response that can be gleaned from pronouncements by public officials and the media is quite striking. It would seem as if in a bid not to give Al Shabaab ammunition or to "endanger the troops," anti-Muslim rhetoric, especially from Kenyan fundamentalist Christian groups, has gone silent.

How long it will last, will soon be clear. Support for the Kenyan action in Somalia is shrill, and the Kenyan blogosphere and social media voices are waxing patriotic.

A posting by a Christine Mutimura on the social media Twitter on Operation Linda Nchi (Operation Protect the Homeland) as Kenya is calling it, summed it up well: "Kenya's invasion of Somalia to hunt down Al Shabaab is being viewed as a Big Gamble. I say Operation Linda Nchi is a Worthy Gamble."

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  • ras sideeq
    Nov 21 2011, 09:01

    I SAY TO ALL MY WORTHY BROTHERS THA RIGHTEOUSNESS IS RELEVANT IN THE FORCES OF JUSTICE. THERE IS NO CHRISTIAN CAMPAIGN AS SUCH.THOSE OF YOU WHO ARE CHRISTIANS MUST RESEARCH YOUR BIBLES AND THEN READ THE QU'RAN. WHAT YOU WILL FIND THATNTHE QU'RAN IS A VERY CREDIBLE AND RIGHTEOUSS BOOK AN CONTINUES INTHE TRADITION OF OUR PROPHETS. I WOULD SUGGEST TO THOSE FUNDAMENTALIST CHRISTIAN ELEMNETS THAT THE BIBLE THE WHITES GAVE TO YOU IS IN REALITY YOUR OWN HISTORY.THE WORKS OF THE BIBLE SPEAKS OF EGYPT GAZ JERUSALEM SHILOH ETC; SHOULD WE CHECK OUR GEOGRAPHY WE WILL FIND THAT ETHIOPIS PLAYS A PROMINENT ROLE IN GENISIS. WE MUST LOOK AT A MAP AND WE WILL SEE THAT THIS IS AFRICA. NORTH AFRICA SOME OF EAST AFRICA WAS CONQUORED BY MANY WHITE TRIBES OR NATIONS OVER THE MILLINEUMS. LET S BE CLEAR THE HISTORY OF THE ANCIENT WORLD CONCSIST SOLELY OF THE BLACK MAN. WESTERN EUROPE DIDI NOT EXIST AS AS FAR AS NATIONHOOD OR CIVILITY WAS CONCERNED UNTILL GENGHIS KAHN SO WE MUST REALLY THINK HARD HOW E SPEAK AND WHAT IT IS THAT TRULY MAKES SENSE. WE MUST MAKE SENSE FROM OUR LIVES AND REASSES THE BEGINNINGS OF HUMANITY AND WHERE WAS THE AFRICAN AND WHAT PART DID HE PLAY. IF YOU DO NOT KNOW HISTORY THEN YOUR FUTURE IS BLEAK. TH FIRST AND FOREMOST THING IS THAT WITHOUT THE BLACKMNA THERE WOULD BE NO HISTORY. THE BLACK MANM HAS MELANIN THE WHITE RACE HAS NONE THE ALBINO HAS NONEDOES THIS MAKE SENSE TO YOU. MOSES WHEN HE WENT BEFORE PHAROH HE PULLED HIS HAND FROM HIS CHEST AND THERE IT TURNED WHITE WITH LEPROSY THAT IS A FACT. WHEN JESUSU STOPPED ALONG THE WAY HE HEALED THE LEPOR AND INFORMED HIM TO KEEP IT TO HIMSELF WHY? IF PEOPLE THOUGHT THIS MAN HAD TURNED WHITE AT SOME POINT THEY WOULD HAVE OUTCAST HIM. FACT MICHAEL JACKSON WAS AFFECTED BY THE VILOOGO OR SOME THING OF THAT NATURE WHICH TURNED HIS SKIN WHITE. WHITES DID NOT WANT TO CONFIRM THIS AS A MEDICAL PROBLME BECAUSE IT WOULD BE APPARENT THAT BLACKS CAN BECOME WHITE. THERE IS NO REVERSAL FOR WHITES THEY CAN NEVR BE BLACK. MANY BLACKS HAVE VERY WHITE BABIES. IT USED TO BE SAID THAT BLACKS DONT HAVE BLUE EYED BABIES THAT IS A FALCY THE BLACK MAN HAS EVERY HUMAN GENE IN HIS COMPOSITION. SO MAN COMES FORM THE BLACK MAN NOT THE MONKEY OR THE APE OR CHIMPANZEE. ALL HUMANITY DERIVES FROM THE ONE GENPOOL AND THAT IS THE BLACK MAN. SHOULD THE APE HAD BEEN ONCE MAN THY WOULD STILL BE MANIFESTING TODAYAS DOES A TADPOLE CONTINUE TO BE A FROG. TODAY IF YOU GO TO GAMBI OR TANZANIA THEIR ARE HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS OF ALBINOS THEY ARE VERY WHITE WITH DIFFERN COLOUR EYES WHAT YOU MUST RESPECT WITH THIS THAT IT IS THE SAME STORY THAT HAPPENED IN THE BEGINNING OF MANS EVOLUTION TO OTGER DIFFERNT VARIETIES OF MAN. WITHOUT SAYING MORE THE IDEA OF HAVING SUDAN IN THE EAST AFRICAN AGENDA WOULD BE MARVELOUS THIS WOULD IMPROVE THE LIFESPAN OF VERY ANCIENT PEOPLE AND THE TIME IS NOW TO ALLOW THEM TO ENJOY THE WELL FILTERD BITS OF MODERNITY. SELFISHNES IS NOT VERY ASPIRING AND IT IS OOD SENSE TO FEED OFF OF UNITY . UNITY IS A VERY POWERFUL AGEND IT BRINGS PEOPLE CLOSER IT IDENTIFIES WHAT OUR WEAKEST POINTS ARE AND CONSTRUCTIVE CRITISISM DOES NO ONE ANY HARM IT CAN ONLY ENHANCE ONES PROSPECT. THE WISE USE OF SUDAN WOULD TO ALLOW SUDAN TO BE PART OF ANY MEASURES IN SOMALIA TO BRING THIS NATION IN THE FOLD OF THE AFRICAN UNION. THERE IS A EASTERNBLOC THAT IS PREMMINENT AND SERVES THE PEOPLE BUT DOES NOT TRULY SERVE THE PEOPLE. UNITY IS A VERY BIG WORD. UNITY IS LIKE FAMILY EVERYONE COUNTS. SO FAMILT MEMBERS ACCOMPLISH MORE AND FAMILY IS FOR LIFE. HISTORY HAS TAUGHT US ABOUT CAIN ANABEL SO WE DO NOT WANT TO REPEAT THAT SCENARIO. LET US BE CLEAR WAR AND CONFLICT MUST CEASE IN ALL AFRICA . THE AU AND ITS REGIONAL STAES MUST BRING TO BOOK THE VIPERS IN THE NEST. THIS IS NOT ABOUT CHRISTIANS VERSE MUSLIMS THAT IS FANTASY. AS WE KNOW EVERY ONE CAME FROM ABRAHAMS SEED AND THE SONS OF ABRAHAM HAVE INDEED MULTIPLIED MANY FOLD AND THEY WER ALL BLACK AS WE KNOW THE HAGART THE EGYPTIAN WS BLACK AS WAS MOSES AND WA ABRAHAM SO WE ARE NOT HERE TO DISPUTE THE ORIGINS OF HOW WE CHOOSE TO SERVE GOD. MANY ISRAELITES FROM THE TWELVE TRIBES WERE TAKEN IN BONDAGE FROM WST AFRICA AS WELL AS MANY MUSLIMS THIS IS NOT THE POINT MANY CHRISTIANS BELEIVE THAT THERE IS ONLY "ONE ALMIGHTY GOD" TEY ARE NOT CONVINCED THAT WE MUST BOW TO MARY AND ACCEPT THAT JESUS WHO WA CRUCIFIED OR WAS TAKEN FROM US COULD ACTULLY BE GOD WHEN THE "ALMIGHTY HAS MADE IT CLEAR THAT NO MAN SHALL LOOK UPON HIS FACE ANDF LIVE. ALSO THAT "HE" IS A JEALOUS GOD SERVE NO ONE EXCEPT HIM . WE LSO KNOW THAT THE LORDS PRAYERT WAS NOT SPEAKING TO HIMSELF. "OUR FATHER WHO AR IF HEAVEN HALLOWED BE THY NAME. UNTILL THY THEY KINGDOM COMES; THY WILL, WILL BE DONE ON EARTH AS IT IS IN HEAVEN" THESE ARE BIG WORDS WE KNOW THAT WE LIVE BY THE WILL OF OF THE "ALMIGHTY GOD" AND HE EXPECTS US TO BEHAVE ACCORDINGLY. MURDERING AND SHOOTING EXTORTING IS NOT THE WILL OF "THE MOST HIGH GOD" THERE ARE MANY PEOPLE WHO ARE SUFFERING AND ARE ENTITLED TO LIVE IN PEACE AND HARMONY GIVING THANKS AND PRAISES DAILY LIVING UPRIGHT AND SERVING "HIS MSJESTY"DO NOT GETTHIS CONFUSED SOMALIANS WANT TO HAVE AGOVERNMNET THEY CAN ELECT THEY WANT TO REBUILD THEIR TORN LIVES THEY DESERVE TO HAVE THIS. WE ARE NOT GODS WE CAN NOT DESIGN HOW HUMANITY SHOULD LIVE EVERYONE HAS THE RIGHT TO MAKE AN IMPACT ON THIS PLANET. WE ARE ALL BORN FREE. WE DONT NEED OTHER MAN TO DESIGN WHAT KINDS OF FREEDOMS WE SHOULD HAVE THESE ARE OUR RIGHTS. WE KNOW THE BOUDARIES THAT WE MAY ALIGHT TO. ANUYTHING CORRUPT WE BURN THAT ANYTHING IMMORAL WE FIREBLOOD THAT ANY ABOMINATION WE DO NOT WANT THAT SO WHERE ARE WE TALKING ANY THING DIFFERNT FROM YOU. TRUTH IS ONLY ONE TRUTH. THERE IS ONLY"ONE LORD AND MASTER" WE ALL SERVE HIM UNDER WHATEVER DENOMINATION. ONE THING IS SURE THAT "HE" WILL MAKE IT CLEAR ON THE DAY WHO WAS DECEITFUL AND WHO WAS A LIAR SO WE HAVENT GOT THAT AUTHORITY TO BECOME JUDGES OVER OUR BROTHERS AND SITERS. THE "ALMIGHTY" MADE US IN PAIRS WHEN "HE" SPOKE TO NOAH "HE" MADE IT ABUNDANTLY CLEAR THAT MAN BOTH LONGSIDE FEMALE PAIRS OF EACH SHOULD ENTER THE ARC INCLUDING ALL ANIMALS. WE KNOW THIS WE KNOW THAT PAIRS OF HUMANITYIS WHAT OUR FATHER WISHES OF US. HE DOES NOT EXPECT US TO LIVE ANY OTHER WAY. ANY NATION OR NATIONS OF PEOPLE WHO WANST TO CORRUPT THE IDEALS THAT WAS PASSED DOWN FROM LOT WHEN THE PEOPLE WERE DESTROYED FOR THE WICKED ABOMINATIONS. THEY ALSO WHO PREACH THIS ABOMINATION SHALL ALSO BE DESTROYED IN THE FIRE OF ETERNAL DAMNATION. TODAY BROTHERS WE WANT TO ESTABLISH RIGHTEOUSNESS AND WISE COUNCILS WHERE BRETHREN CAN GATHER TO GETHER TO UPLIFT THE NATIONS OF PEOPLES WHO WE ARE ALL ONE FAMILY . WE EXPECT TO LIVE IN UNITY AND BANN THE USE OF FIREARMS SOME THING THAT WA GIVEN TO US A S ATOLL TO DETROY OUR SELVES . THIS IS PART OF SATANS ARSENAL F DESTRUCTION HATE AND WAR MONEGRING. THESE ITEMS DOES NOT TEACH RIGHTEOUSNES NOR DOES IT IMPROVE OUR LOVE FOR "THE ALMIGHTY GOD" THESE INSTRUMENTS BRING US CLOSER TO THE FIRE THAN TO THE LIGHT. LEAVE THE FIRE FOR THE DEAD LEAVE THE DEAD TO BURY THE DEAD. THESE WAYS OF LIFE ARE NOT LIFE THIS IS ONE OF SATANS TRICKS . THIS IS ONE OF SANTAS TOYS FOR GROWN UPS , WHO IS SANTA ? !! SATANTHE MASTER DEVILTHE TRICKSTER THE CONMEN. THIS IS THE GUY WHO LIES AND PRACTISES HYPOCRISY THE BAXKSTABBER THE DOUBE DEALER THE LIARDTHE ILLUSIONIST THE DELUDER TE MASS KILLER THE HATERTHE LIVING DEAD. THIS IS HE WHO IS DESTINED FOR THE FIRE WITHOUT REPRIEVE. SOMALIANS WANT TO BECOME PART OF THE UNIFIED NATIONS OF ALL AFRICA. EVERYONE IN AFRICA WILL BE ABLE TO LIVE ACCORDING TO THEIR RIGHTEOUSS DESIRES SHOULD ONE WANT TO LIVE IN A TRULY DEVOUT LIFESTYLE IT WILL BE HERE SHOULD ONE TO LIVE A LESSERTHAN DEVOUT THAT LSO IS THERE BUT WE WILL NOT BOW TO SODOMY AND ABOMINATIONS NOR WILL ANY AFRICAN COUNTRIES APPROOVE SUCH FILTH FOR THE EDUCATION OF THE CHILDREN. AFRICA PREFERS THE ORIGINAL LESSONS THAT WERRE TAUGHT AND HANDED DOWN FOR MANY MILLINIUMS. "LET US ALL "PRAIE GOD" LET US GIVE HIM THANKS ETERNALY AS LONG AS WE HAVE THE LIGHT IN OUR EYES"AFRICA WILL STAND FIRMCOMMITTED TO RIGHTEOUSNES WE ARE COMMITE TO THE "ONE GOD" AND "HE" ALONE DO WE SERVE. WE WILL NOT DEFY HIS TEACHINGS NOR WILL WE BREACH HIS TRUST. AFRICA IS CONFIDENT IN THE HEERAFTER THAT WE SHALL BEALL CHOSEN TO LIVE THAT WHAT WAS PROMISED IF WE LIVE ACCORDING TO THE MANY MESSENGERS WHO BROUGHT THE WORD. TODAY IT DOES NOT MATTER WHOSE WORD IT IS THAT YOU HEARD WHAT IS IMPORTANT IS THAT YOU LIVE AND GIVE PRAISES DAILY. YOU REMAIN STEADFAST IN THE GOOD TIDINGS WE ALL FULFIL THE WORDS THAT WERE GIVEN US BY THE MANY AND WE THANK THEM ALL FOR "THE ALMIGHTY GOD" IS SO WORTHY AND HONERABLE THAT WE WILL DO NOTHING MORE THAT BE FOREVER THANKFUL FOR HIS MERCIES AND HIS WONDERFUL BLESSINGS "PRAISE ALMIGHTY GOD"