Mangaung will not bring about any drastic leadership changes within the ANC. Three of the six probable winners might be new to the positions, but their place in the safari has been long secured.
Here's the Big 5 and the Buffalo:
President: Jacob Zuma
Deputy President: Cyril Ramaphosa
National Chair: Baleka Mbete
Secretary General: Gwede Mantashe
Deputy Secretary General: Jessie Duarte (DSG-elect : stood uncontested and was elected in accordance with the ANC's constitution)
Treasurer General: Zweli Mkhize
A quick glance at the list will show you that not only are these Zuma pawns in the game against Motlanthe but they're also accomplished politicians in their own right. Their political will over the next 5 years will be tested from within the ANC. For the ANC to remain a powerhouse its leadership needs to deal substantively with key challenges - the rot of corruption, organization inefficiency and the inability to translate policy into reality. This is unlikely to happen.