Fahamu (Oxford)

Somalia: Ethiopia and Kenya Have Taken Over Somalia

opinion

The recent Memorandum of Understanding delegitimizes the federal government and pre-empts its sovereign leadership role in the internal and external affairs of Somalia

In implementing their recently concluded regional security cooperation agreement and reaffirming their indefinite military occupation of Somalia, Ethiopia and Kenya have decided to takeover and perhaps later annex Somalia under the cover of the Inter-Governmental Authority on Development (IGAD). Since only Ethiopia exercises uncontested power within the Organization, on 6 December 2012, IGAD Joint Committee of Ethiopia and Kenya under the auspices of former Kenyan Minister, Mr. Kipruto Arap Kirwa, IGAD Facilitator for Somalia Peace and Reconciliation (IFSPR), issued a statement and Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on Grand Stabilization plan (GSP) for South and Central Somalia.

MARGINALIZING STRUCTURES

As explained in the prerelease statement, the GSP covers political reconciliation, local administration, national security, rule of law, and delivery of necessary assistance to communities in need. In addition to Ethiopia and Kenya, a Somali team liaised with the Office of the Prime Minister and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Somalia and led by former head of the Somali National Security Services (SNSS), General Mohamed Sheikh Hassan attended the IGAD Joint Committee deliberations in Addis Ababa. It is not clear if the new federal government had full knowledge of the team's existence, working responsibilities and accountability.

The Office of IFSPR is independent from IGAD's Secretariat. The IGAD Facilitator is based in Addis Ababa, while the IGAD Secretariat is based in Djibouti. For further background information, on 28 April 2010, a Memorandum of Understanding on Somalia has been signed among AMISOM, UNPOS, and IGAD Facilitator. This tripartite MoU marginalizes IGAD Executive Secretary, Inj. Mahboub Maalim who is of a Somali-Kenyan origin from Somalia peace process.

The new IGAD Joint Committee initiative takes place while the international community- the donor countries, the United Nations, the Arab league, the Organization of Islamic Countries and the African Union are reviewing their strategic cooperation with the newly elected post transitional federal government in the light of the decisions reached during the Mini Summit held in New York in September 2012. Furthermore, it comes out after the first official visit of the president of the federal government, Dr. Hassan Sheikh Mohamud to Ethiopia and Djibouti and in the midst of his official visit to Turkey with which the federal government has signed important economic and security agreements.

CHALLENGES AHEAD

Fortunately with unblinking honesty, the Deputy Special Representative of the Secretary General (DSRSG), Peter de Clercq published a brief titled 'What next for the United Nations in Somalia?' in the Tumblr blog of the United Nations Political Office for Somalia (UNPOS) in which he highlighted the ongoing strategic review process dictated by the new political dispensation. While reading the brief is more informative, the DSRGS made the following critical points:

• That the federal Government has sought UN and AU support for rebuilding the security apparatus (national army and police force), rebuilding a credible judiciary system, implementing a decentralization and local/regional administrations as well as undertaking a comprehensive capacity building of Somali Institutions;

• That the UN has committed to align itself along the 'six pillars' plan announced by the President of Somalia and the new UN mission will concentrate on state and peace building. He quoted President Hassan Mohamud saying to the UN Review Mission: 'If you don't start treating us as a viable State, we will never become one.'

• Finally that the ambitions of the new administration match the challenges ahead and that the administration has asked a space to think through and implement the new strategy laid out by the president in his 'six pillars' strategy.

It is absolutely buoyant to see that an official of UNPOS is capable to voice such a rightful and honest statement in opportune time so that the end of transition would not be a farce. The DSRSG argued forcefully that 'peace building is a complex business, but not giving this important [Somali] initiative a chance brings even bigger risks.' Time will tell if his views are embraced wholeheartedly and implemented without delay by his leaders.

Rather than reinforcing the message of his deputy and five days before the signing of the MoU in Nairobi, Kenya planned for 13 December 2012, the SRGS, Dr. Augustine Mahiga, issued a statement in which he welcomed the IGAD Facilitator Initiative for Somalia. The assertion that the new initiative is a Somali-owned, led process is far from the truth.

The content of MoU raises many questions and concerns. It consists of a preamble and 9 articles. The preamble stresses the threat of terrorism, threats of State, human insecurities, other emerging security concerns, commitment of government of Somalia to work within IGAD's framework and stabilization, and the 'required partnership engagement' for greater stability in Somalia. Article 5 of the MoU overrides and restricts the constitutional, political and administrative responsibilities, prerogative and citizens' relationship of the Somali Government.

DELEGITIMIZING THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT

First and foremost, the MoU delegitimizes the federal government and pre-empts its sovereign leadership role in the internal and external affairs of Somalia. It attempts to completely abort the prospect of the international efforts geared towards statebuilding and peacebuilding in Somalia. It is takeover, not support of Somalia. Above all, it ignores the political arrangement created by the adoption of the provisional constitution, the ending of the transitional period and the rehabilitation of Somali State in accordance with the political platform announced by the new Government.

Other glaring shortcomings of the MoU include the exclusion of Eritrea, Sudan, Uganda, Djibouti and Burundi, and the empowerment of IGAD Facilitator over UN/AU Facilitators. The MoU creates multiple overlaps and weakens the centrally guided and coordinated implementation of the approved Somali National Security and Stabilization Plan (NSSP), which outlines in detail the establishment of complex structures at national, regional and district levels and the legislations required to create a secure and safer Somalia. These tasks fall under the jurisdiction of the President, Federal Parliament and the Council of Ministers.

During his first visit to Kenya in November 2012, Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn of Ethiopia stated that his country views Kenya as a strategic all-weather partner and friend in a troubled region. He also defended Kenya's direct control of the process for setting up administrations in Jubba and Gedo regions in violation of Somali sovereignty, provisional constitution and UN resolutions.

It is interesting to see if the international community and the United Nations are willing to go along with the Ethiopian and Kenyan takeover of Somalia in violation of the latter's independent self-governance and political transformation. The Ethiopian bid to secure its regional power role at a time of state failure, civil conflicts and undemocratic regimes in power could be potentially a destabilizing factor rather than a stabilizing power in the region.

As a matter of urgency, the federal government has to streamline its strategic dealing with the international community, develop and practice protocols and procedures for uprooting its internal dysfunctional behavior and creating disciplined working habit that will strengthen its decision making and execution process. The basis of this reform must be the development of a national political platform that will boost national loyalty to a clear domestic and foreign policy agenda. In a nutshell, to diminish the unwarranted external influences and interferences, the federal government must act quickly by mobilizing the public awareness on citizenship, sense of patriotism, justice, social harmony and common interests.

Mohamud M Uluso, a Somalia analyst

  • Comment (4)

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Comments Post a comment

  • Mwadamkulu Kinganga
    Dec 23 2012, 08:49

    War on terror is war on Muslim and Islam therefore since Kenya ,Ethiopia and Uganda signed and declared war on terror they outomatically declared war on Muslims and Islam.The West have their own reasons to wage war on Muslims and Islam,what about African countries have they also reasons to wage war on Islam and Muslims?

  • Dini
    Dec 22 2012, 09:57

    "Somalia: Ethiopia and Kenya Have Taken Over Somalia" by Mohamed Ulusow.

    A legitimate political analyst is speaking in such a tone? If in fact, Uluso has solid evidence beside his quoted dates, he can shed some light on it for the Somali readers.

    Ethiopia is wrestling with its own internal problems and the new Ethiopian Prime Minister will need time to adjust with his new post and build his own leadership style.

    For the Kenya case, the Coast Province is boiling over and we might see political violence which can make Kenya to cease to exist. It was predicted by the ICG (International Crises Group) group back in 1997, that Kenya is always ready to implode. It almost happened ten years later in December 2007 elections following violent elections.

    Current Somalia leadership style from the prime minister Abdi Farah Shirdonis and president Hassan Sheikh Mohamud is open for a debate.

    The two top leaders of Somalia were just enjoying life during these past twenty years better than most Somalis. The PM, Abdi Farah Shirdon has spent years in Nairobi, Kenya and elsewhere in East Africa running private businesses with his wife. The President has been running schools and NGOs in Mogadishu with funds from the Arab goodwill coffers in the tune of tens of millions of dollars since he set up SIMAD Institute, a plagiarized name and school model to begin with. SIDAM, entirely different business school used to own the name SIDA. Now, look the flipped spelling of the name SIMAD, Mr Mohamud's school vs SIDAM, the original school near National Printing Agency near Sucundo Leado in Hamar Wayne District. If nothing else, the president is guilt of business plagiarisms and he thinks he can make a similar foolish move and sort of sell of national assets during his 4-year term while he assumes the PM role as well.

    President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud first left Somalia without government for two months while he made his selection for Abdi Farah Shirdon as PM and their subsequent move with coming up 10 ministerial positions. Things will catch up quickly with president Hassan Sheikh Mohamud as other governments and smart enterprising Somalis will join the Somalia game. UAE, Turkey, Canada and Italy all want a piece of Somalia in terms of cash from the development activities which is taking place in the capital. Outer regions have their luck. The southwest Juba Valley regions Gedo and two Jubas will have their own semi autonomous governance soon. Bay, Hiran, Bakol and Shabellas still have to make move for self governing as Mogadishu will always be introverted.

    The current president Mr Mohamud and PM Mr. Shirdon have merged their duties even though you normally have separate and powerful jobs for the Presidency and the Prime Minister's offices. The Prime Minister Abdi Farah Shirdon should run the country while the president is the wise, caretaker of the nation. Now they confused roles. The president presides over every meeting and bilateral agreements from any sources such as the recent trip to Ankara and Istanbul in Turkey.

    PM Abdi Farah Shirdon has excellent advisers and relatively small cabinet compared to previous governments. All which allow him to do a lot in his term at the helm of his government. Day to day running of the country rests on the PM's shoulders and his cabinet to facilitate individual ministry's role. Somali PM Abdi Farah Shirdon has delegated all his duties to the president as the president meets every high level official from the outside world. Mr Hassan Sheikh Mohamud is aging quickly.

    Give Kenya and Ethiopia until the end of March 2013 and let us have another discussion then.

    Dini Jama Business Instructor

  • Dini
    Dec 22 2012, 09:59

    "Somalia: Ethiopia and Kenya Have Taken Over Somalia" by Mohamed Ulusow.

    A legitimate political analyst is speaking in such a tone? If in fact, Uluso has solid evidence beside his quoted dates, he can shed some light on it for the Somali readers.

    Ethiopia is wrestling with its own internal problems and the new Ethiopian Prime Minister will need time to adjust with his new post and build his own leadership style.

    For the Kenya case, the Coast Province is boiling over and we might see political violence which can make Kenya to cease to exist. It was predicted by the ICG (International Crises Group) group back in 1997, that Kenya is always ready to implode. It almost happened ten years later in December 2007 elections following violent elections.

    Current Somalia leadership style from the prime minister Abdi Farah Shirdonis and president Hassan Sheikh Mohamud is open for a debate.

    The two top leaders of Somalia were just enjoying life during these past twenty years better than most Somalis. The PM, Abdi Farah Shirdon has spent years in Nairobi, Kenya and elsewhere in East Africa running private businesses with his wife. The President has been running schools and NGOs in Mogadishu with funds from the Arab goodwill coffers in the tune of tens of millions of dollars since he set up SIMAD Institute, a plagiarized name and school model to begin with. SIDAM, entirely different business school used to own the name SIDA. Now, look the flipped spelling of the name SIMAD, Mr Mohamud's school vs SIDAM, the original school near National Printing Agency near Sucundo Leado in Hamar Wayne District. If nothing else, the president is guilt of business plagiarisms and he thinks he can make a similar foolish move and sort of sell of national assets during his 4-year term while he assumes the PM role as well.

    President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud first left Somalia without government for two months while he made his selection for Abdi Farah Shirdon as PM and their subsequent move with coming up 10 ministerial positions. Things will catch up quickly with president Hassan Sheikh Mohamud as other governments and smart enterprising Somalis will join the Somalia game. UAE, Turkey, Canada and Italy all want a piece of Somalia in terms of cash from the development activities which is taking place in the capital. Outer regions have their luck. The southwest Juba Valley regions Gedo and two Jubas will have their own semi autonomous governance soon. Bay, Hiran, Bakol and Shabellas still have to make move for self governing as Mogadishu will always be introverted.

    The current president Mr Mohamud and PM Mr. Shirdon have merged their duties even though you normally have separate and powerful jobs for the Presidency and the Prime Minister's offices. The Prime Minister Abdi Farah Shirdon should run the country while the president is the wise, caretaker of the nation. Now they confused roles. The president presides over every meeting and bilateral agreements from any sources such as the recent trip to Ankara and Istanbul in Turkey.

    PM Abdi Farah Shirdon has excellent advisers and relatively small cabinet compared to previous governments. All which allow him to do a lot in his term at the helm of his government. Day to day running of the country rests on the PM's shoulders and his cabinet to facilitate individual ministry's role. Somali PM Abdi Farah Shirdon has delegated all his duties to the president as the president meets every high level official from the outside world. Mr Hassan Sheikh Mohamud is aging quickly.

    Give Kenya and Ethiopia until the end of March 2013 and let us have another discussion then.

    Dini Jama Business Instructor

  • jerryytcrane
    Dec 25 2012, 21:46

    Since Kenya, Ethiopia and Uganda signed and declared war on terror war on terror is to muslims and Islam war…… Read more(http://www.philippinescrane.com)