15 January 2013

Kenya: To Go, or Not to Go, That Is the Question


OVER the weekend Jubilee presidential candidate Uhuru Kenyatta said that his rivals should stop talking about the ICC and should instead focus on policies.

The trials in the Hague of Uhuru and his running mate William Ruto start on April 10 and 11, the date of the second round run-off if there is one. According to the Chief Prosecutor, Uhuru and Ruto will then have to spend two years at the Hague.

Assuming that they are elected, they will face the choice of whether to go, or not to go. If they go, Kenya will have no president for two years. The Speaker will probably have to take over. There will be some kind of constitutional crisis.

If they don't go, the ICC will most likely issue an arrest warrant against them, and the international community will impose sanctions. Last week the Dutch government banned imports of miraa from Kenya. Producers in Meru are already demanding that government intervene to save them.

How much worse would it be if the EU imposed sanctions on imports of flowers and vegetables? This is a fundamental issue. It is unrealistic of Uhuru to demand that it should be ignored until after the elections.

Quote of the day: "Writing is like prostitution. First you do it for love, and then for a few close friends, and then for money." - French writer Moliere was born on January 15, 1622

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