15 February 2013

Kenya: Raila, Cord Enjoy Marginal Lead in State House Race - Infotrak

A majority of Kenyans were not influenced on their choice of candidate by the presidential debate that took place earlier this week. This is according an Infotrack opinion poll survey conducted between 12 and 13 February.

The survey whose sample size was 1650 respondents found that 88.2 per cent of those interviewed were unaffected by the Kenya's first presidential debates.

On account of the majority being unaffected by the presidential debate, the self sponsored opinion survey found that the Cord coalition is still the most popular alliance with 46.4 per cent of the unaffected respondents saying they would still vote in a Raila Odinga led government. The Jubilee coalition led by Uhuru Kenyatta and his running mate William Ruto came second with 42.9 per cent.

The closing gap between the two coalitions is however a significant change from the last poll in which the Cord alliance was leading by 49 per cent to the Jubilee alliance's 40 per cent.

The Amani coalition led by Musalia Mudavadi, Eagle alliance under Peter Kenneth and Martha Karua's Narc Kenya scored five per cent, four per cent and one per cent respectively.

Abduba Dida's ARC, Paul Muite's Safina and James Ole Kiyiapi's RBK scored 0.5 per cent, 0.1 per cent and 0.2 per cent respectively in the survey. The number of undecided voter significantly dropped from 11 per cent to just two per cent.

The opinion poll was conducted in 25 of the 47 counties with a +/- 2.4 error margin and a 95 per cent degree confidence. The sample frame used in the survey was drawn from the pool of registered voters.

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