1 February 2014

Kenya: 61 Percent of Kenyans Want ICC Cases Dropped - Poll

MOST Kenyans now wish that ICC cases against President Uhuru Kenyatta and Deputy President William Ruto be dropped, according to a Strategic PR poll released yesterday.

Around 61 percent want the ICC to terminate the case against Uhuru, apparently "now that the prosecutor publicly declared that there was not enough evidence to sustain the case against the president."

But 39 percent of the respondents feel that Uhuru's case should continue. Last November an Ipsos Synovate poll showed that a majority, 51 percent, of Kenyans still supported the trials of Uhuru and Ruto at the ICC.

Two years ago two-thirds of Kenyans supported the ICC trials, according to opinion polls. The poll was conducted between January 22 and 24 with 2,471 people interviewed in 36 out of 47 counties with a 2.4 percent margin of error.

The Strategic PR poll found that 60 percent do not believe that the conclusion of the ICC cases would heal the country while 40 percent think it would. Another 57.6 percent believe that the ICC cases are a waste of time and money but 42.4 percent disagreed.

The ICC case against Uhuru was postponed indefinitely this month. The Strategic PR poll said that 57.5 percent of Kenyans feel the case against Uhuru is not credible while 42.5 percent say it is credible.

For Ruto, 55.6 percent say the ICC case is not credible compared to 44.4 percent who say it is credible. Around 23.2 percent of Kenyans are satisfied and 19.6 percent satisfied with the way the ICC court has handled the case against Uhuru, compared to 27.7 percent who are dissatisfied and 21.9 percent very dissatisfied.

For Ruto's case, 26.3 per cent very satisfied, 24.2 percent satisfied, 22.3 percent dissatisfied and 19.4 percent very dissatisfied. Strategic PR found that 54 percent of respondents would vote today for Uhuru Kenyatta as president, compared 34 percent who would not vote for him and 12 percent who do not know.

This is better than the 50.04 percent that Uhuru got in the March 2013 elections but the finding should be treated with caution as the question did not refer to any other possible candidates.

Howebver the poll did find that TNA party is the most popular party with 32.4 percent support compared to ODM's 28.7 percent support. In the March 2013 elections where ODM pipped TNA by winning 78 parliamentary seats compared to 72.

Strategic PR Chief Executive Officer Ceasar Handa said ODM's popularity decline "could be due to the upcoming party elections slated for February 28." The Jubilee coalition, including TNA, has 167 seats in the National Assembly while Cord, including ODM, has 141.

Kenyans did not seem to believe that the Jubilee government is a high achiever as 16.6 percent thought that the Jubilee government has no major achievement. The next highest scores were 12.9 percent for improved infrastructure and 11.3 percent for free maternity. The main complaint was that 31.1 percent thought that there had been a decline in security under the Jubilee government.

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