Uganda: Understanding Political Opinion Polls

On May 26, the WBS Television Auditorium at Naguru, in Kampala hosted the public to debate the recently released opinion poll done by Research World International (RWI) which was commissioned by Monitor Publications Limited and the Uganda Governance Platform to assess the opinions and attitudes of voting-age Ugandans two years to 2016 general elections. Many in the audience wanted to know how credible the poll should be taken by Ugandans when they had doubts about the methodology.

Others wanted to know whether the 2142 sample was representative enough for a country whose population is estimated at about 36 million people. It did not help matters that the pollsters used the 2002 population census data to determine population distribution across the country.

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