South Africa: Analysis - Currently Undecided Voters Could Decide SA's Future in 2019 and Beyond

analysis

If one is foolish enough to try to determine certain outcomes from our current political equations, a number of important variables will become apparent. There are so many moving parts that it is difficult to assign values to any of these variables. But one of the most important questions that could answer what will happen over the next five years revolves around a sort of "missing" constituency in our politics. These are people who used to vote, but have stopped casting their ballot. If one can identify these people, and work out what their interests are, it may be possible to determine how the country will swing in 2019 and beyond. By STEPHEN GROOTES.

Stories around the polling currently conducted by the two major parties, the ANC and the DA, abound. As this data is not published, it is advisable to treat it with some caution. But, from what can be pieced together, it is clear that the ANC is currently somewhere in the zone between 45% and 55%. In other words, it is vulnerable. But it is not yet clear who could take over. Certainly, those who believe the DA could lead a coalition government are likely to be...

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