6 October 2017

Liberia: Brumskine to Surprise

Polls in the truest of reality are not fixed, but at times prove a bit worthy of believability when results are as just as polled. It is still argue to date that pollsters in America did not get it quite right for Hilary Clinton who was predicted winner over her Republican challenger, Donald Trump who won the Electoral College Vote.

Experts said the polls were right because Clinton won the popular votes with the margins of over two million votes. Liberians are also in the same arena ahead of Tuesday's votes. The polls had been swinging both ways but with the recent one conducted and released by IPP, International Political poll places Charles Walker Brumskine of the Liberty Party on top, thereby creating a sense of big surprise for the Nation. The New Republic, reports.

The winner of the elections of Tuesday, October 10, 2017 will be known in more than one or two weeks' time in line with National Elections Commission timetable.

But if all things go as planned and prosecuted backed by the Heavenly direction -even as the polls are suggesting - a Charles Walker Brumskine of the LP could be announced the surprised winner, experts have hinted.

According to reports, his last campaign efforts have been possible evident by the numbers he managed to pull across the country. Cllr. Brumskine and the LP were phenomena in Grand Bassa, Rivercess counties where citizens spoke with single voice to make him Liberia's next president.

Our correspondents in different parts of the country said Brumskine and the LP are getting famous in rural Liberia and could surprise the nation.

However, a new poll released by the IPP has summed up the tally for the LP strongman. The same IPP released its first poll this year and placed George Weah of the CDC top and later came with Unity Party's Joseph Boakai top also.

As polled, Cllr. Brumskine presently tops George Weah (CDC) and Joseph Nyuma Boakai (UP), both of whom topped him in previous polls.

As per the standing in the latest poll, Brumskine has 26.58% followed by Weah with 24.33% while VP Boakai is on 22.43% of total votes aggregated for decided voters.

This is the fourth of polls conducted by the IPP - International Political Polls - ahead of the votes on Tuesday next week. The poll results have been alternating amongst the three main contenders of Brumskine, Weah and Boakai.

In the first polls in August, Brumskine and Weah made marks over UP Boakai. According to the polls then, Weah of the CDC is first with 24.73%, Brumskine LP in second with 23.49%, and Boakai of the UP in third with 21.74%.

The difference between first place and second place is minor (only 1.24%), and within the polls 1.5% margin of error, the IPP said in a release issued Wednesday August 23.

At the time, the pollsters said Weah, Brumskine, Boakai and Alexander Cummings of the Alternative National Congress were the four leading candidates out of the more than 20 presidential candidates.

In previous polls, Boakai slightly led Brumskine and Weah. But in its fourth poll, IPP said there was a significant decrease in the number of undecided voters. "The current percentages of undecided voters are 12.39%, whereas in the previous poll published on September 21st, it was 25.89%," IPP noted.

"The updated poll suggests that the number of registered voters who remain undecided dropped to only 196.220 voters in comparison to more than 400,000 in the previous poll."

For decided voters, the poll shows that the three leading candidates remain the same but there is evidence that the leading candidate is gaining momentum.

"IPP poll shows that Charles W. Brumskine (LP) has managed to stay in first place and is now leading with 26.58%. George Weah (CDC) in second place with 24.33%, also gaining more votes from last week with an increase of 1.26%. Joseph N. Boakai (UP) is in third with 22.43%," IPP said in the fourth poll.

According to IPP, the difference between first and second place now is more than 2% (greater than the margin of error), while the previous poll showed a difference of only one percent.

"The difference between the second and third place also increased and now it stands on 1.9%, in comparison to previous poll which showed about 1% difference."

Alexander Cummings of the Alternative National Congress (ANC) is on 5.98%, Benoni Urey of the ALP at 6.79%, Prince Johnson of the MDR at 5.06%, Mills Jones stands on 7.51% while other candidates expected results put at 1.32%.

IPP has more than 15 years of experience in the political field, conducting political polls for clients from all over the globe, including UK, Germany, Bolivia, India, South Korea, Kenya and more.


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