26 March 2019

Mali: Insiders Insight - Explaining the Mali Massacre

Photo: Gaëlle Laleix/RFI
Mixed patrol in Mali (file photo).
analysis

The essentials: At least 134 Fulani people, among them many women, children and elderly people, were killed in an attack by a Dogon ethnic militia in central Mali. The attack is one of the worst atrocities ever committed in Mali's long history of internal conflict and marks an unprecedented escalation of violence against civilians, six years into an international intervention to stabilise the country.

The context: In an apparent reprisal attack after an Al-Qaeda-affiliated group killed 23 Malian soldiers, members of the Dan Nan Ambassagou militia surrounded the Fulani villages of Ogossagou and Welingara in central Mali and began killing inhabitants indiscriminately.

Conflicts and violence between Fulani, who rear and herd much of West Africa's livestock, and other communities organised around farming have become common not only in Mali. Competition over grazing corridors and water have been exacerbated by the effects of climate change, land degradation and population growth. It is now stretching traditional conflict resolution mechanisms to breaking point. Governments and security forces, who frequently eye Fulani communities with suspicion due to their high mobility, have been unable and often unwilling to compensate this breakdown of inter-communal relations through increased investment and presence.

Islamist groups are seeking to benefit from these widening cracks in the social fabric by presenting themselves as the guardians of overwhelmingly Muslim Fulani communities. Even though only a fraction of all Fulani are actively supporting such groups, this propaganda has succeeded in associating whole communities with these violent actors, further escalating the circle of violence.

The good: Nothing about such an event can be described as "good", but it is hoped the tragedy will force all actors to take the situation more seriously. As some commentators pointed out, this massacre is as bad or worse than anything any Islamist group ever committed in Mali. While the government, the Malian army and the international forces led by France were quite happy to ignore the complex inter-communal dimension of violence in Mali and concentrate exclusively on the threat posed by Islamist groups, this is now not an option anymore.

The Malian president has already fired the military's chief of staff and the chief of land forces, as well as other officers, who had tolerated and promoted coordination and cooperation between security forces and militias like Dan Nan Ambassagou. Of course President Keita, who has led a rather anaemic administration, will have to ask himself some hard questions as well about his own performance in the face of escalating violence.

The bad: Large parts of the Sahel region are experiencing a worsening security environment and escalating violence between security forces, ethnic militias and radical Islamists, with civilians increasingly becoming the favourite punching bag of all these groups. The presence of international forces is substantial and second in capability and scale only to that in Afghanistan. But the obsession of the international community with combating religious terrorism at the expense of addressing fundamental societal and economic problems have arguably made international forces part of the problem, rather than the solution.

The future: Any change to the current dynamics would probably necessitate serious commitments on the part of governments especially in Mali and Burkina Faso. They would have to curb abuses by their security forces and disarm and demobilise local militias while simultaneously building the presence of the state and investing in infrastructure and social safety nets in marginalised areas. This would have to be supported and demanded by the international community, who would have to reassess their current focus on military means.


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