Africa: UK Death Rate Report Highlights Urgency of Aggressive, Drastic Measures to Fight COVID-19


Researchers in the UK have extrapolated Covid-19 data, mainly from the Wuhan experience, to make predictions about death rates which highlight the urgency of implementing aggressive suppression measures to drastically reduce physical contact and also the rollout of extensive tracking and testing.

Researchers from the Imperial College in the United Kingdom have predicted that nearly four million South Africans could be infected and more than 15,000 could die from the coronavirus in what they stated was their "best-case" scenario (See the full report here).

Imperial College COVID19 Global Impact

But South African-based scientists have cautioned that the projection, in the college's report last week, "The Global Impact of COVID-19 and Strategies for Mitigation and Suppression", should be "taken with a pinch of salt" as it does not use South Africa-specific data but mostly that of the Chinese city of Wuhan where the pandemic erupted in December.

Several South African scientists are reported to be busy calculating more localised projections for the country, perhaps as early as this week, that will take into consideration more of the unique local dynamics.

The UK report by the college's Covid-19 Response Team takes a broad-spectrum approach, projecting the impact of the pandemic on 202...

See What Everyone is Watching

More From: Daily Maverick

Don't Miss

AllAfrica publishes around 800 reports a day from more than 140 news organizations and over 500 other institutions and individuals, representing a diversity of positions on every topic. We publish news and views ranging from vigorous opponents of governments to government publications and spokespersons. Publishers named above each report are responsible for their own content, which AllAfrica does not have the legal right to edit or correct.

Articles and commentaries that identify as the publisher are produced or commissioned by AllAfrica. To address comments or complaints, please Contact us.