Kenya: Odinga Casts Doubt in Ruto's 50+1 Victory Threshold, Says IEBC Figures Don't Add Up

31 August 2022

Nairobi — Hearings of the Supreme Court presidential petition challenging Deputy President William Ruto's victory as president-elect kicked off in earnest Wednesday, with submissions from Azimio presidential candidate Raila Odinga whose lawyers cast doubt on the final vote tally.

Odinga's lead counsel James Orengo told the seven-judge bench that the electoral commission's final tally of the votes as declared by IEBC Chairman Wafula Chebukati does not add up.

"There was deceit, there was manipulation and all these was premeditated and made possible by the attack, if I may put it that way of the IT structure of the electoral commission," Orengo said, urging the judges to nullify Ruto's victory.

He said that "The way that the commission was able to deal with the forms in uploading, transmission and others deleted from the system clearly showed that this election was rigged in favour of Ruto and we urge that you nullify the election because Ruto did not attain the 50+1 threshold."

In seeking to convince the judges to nullify Ruto's victory as president-elect, Orengo said the electoral commission contradicted itself when it first indicated that the total votes cast was 14,466,779 representing 65.4 per cent before it later indicated in the final votes captured in Form 34C as 14,213,037.

"If you look at the results as announced by IEBC and compare them with what is stated in Form 34C, and if you compute the number of votes cast for each o the four candidates, they do not add up completely," Orengo said in his submissions for the main petitioner Odinga who wants Ruto's victory as president-elect nullified.

"We are going to demonstrate that the number of votes cast, keeps on shifting as set out on Form 34 C," he said, and invited the court "to calculate to prove that these figures do not agree at all."

Kenya's Supreme Court on Tuesday said it had identified nine issues to determine the outcome of petitions challenging the result of the August 9 presidential election, including whether any irregularities were substantial enough to nullify the poll.

Deputy President William Ruto, 55, was declared the winner of the closely contested race, scraping to victory by less than two percentage points against Raila Odinga, a 77-year-old veteran opposition figure now backed by the ruling party.

Odinga -- who lost his fifth bid for the presidency -- rejected the outcome and filed a petition at the top court alleging fraud in the vote tallying process.

On Tuesday, the court said it will attempt to answer nine questions during the case, including whether the election commission website was hacked and if there was any interference with the transmission of result forms.

The seven judges will also ascertain if the election technology -- a hot-button issue that led to the nullification of the August 2017 presidential vote following a challenge by Odinga -- met the "standards of integrity, verifiability, security and transparency".

After assessing the transparency of the poll, the court will finally rule on whether Ruto met the constitutional threshold of 50 percent plus 1 of the valid votes cast.

The court on Tuesday directed the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC), which oversaw the poll, to grant Odinga and the other petitioners "full and unfettered" access to all the computer servers used in the poll.

Odinga has alleged that hackers broke into the election servers and uploaded doctored result forms, a claim denied by IEBC chairman Wafula Chebukati.

The apex court also ruled that the votes cast in at least 14 out of around 46,000 polling stations be inspected, scrutinised and recounted.

- 'Final arbiter' -

Since 2002, no presidential election result in Kenya has gone uncontested.

This year's poll also caused a rift within the IEBC, with four of its seven commissioners accusing Chebukati of running an "opaque" process.

Nine petitions were filed to challenge the outcome, but two were rejected on Monday.

Chief Justice Martha Koome said Tuesday the seven other cases will be collapsed into a single case because they cover the same issues.

Both Odinga and Ruto -- who has been named as a defendant in the case filed by the former prime minister -- have assembled huge legal teams.

Hearings will begin on Wednesday, with a decision expected on September 5.

The Supreme Court is the highest in the land, created under Kenya's 2010 constitution "as the final arbiter and interpreter of the constitution".

Its rulings are final and binding. If judges order an annulment, a new vote must be held within 60 days.

But if the court upholds the results, Ruto will become Kenya's fifth president since independence from Britain in 1963, taking the reins of a country battling inflation, high unemployment and a crippling drought.

The IEBC was under heavy pressure to deliver a clean vote after facing sharp criticism over its handling of the August 2017 election.

The court annulled that election in a first for Africa and ordered a re-run which was boycotted by Odinga. Dozens of people died during a police crackdown on protests.

Kenya's worst electoral violence occurred after the 2007 vote, when more than 1,100 people died in politically motivated clashes involving rival tribes.

The court's announcement of the issues that it will examine is a common procedure in Kenya, known as a "pre-trial conference."

Hearing of the consolidated petition kicked off on Wednesday with the final verdict due out Monday.

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