Kenya: Can Pension Funds Unlock the Next Economic Growth Spurt?

Kenyan President Ruto is facing public outrage on various issues.
opinion

Pension funds are among the largest institutional investors in any economy, and with recent reforms in the country, they are set to grow even larger. Starting February last month, contributions to the National Social Security Fund (NSSF) will rose by 50 percent. Additionally, the government has expanded incentives for voluntary contributions by increasing the tax-deductible limit and including post-retirement medical fund contributions as allowable expenses. While these changes enhance individual retirement security, they also signal significant growth in the pension industry's assets under management, reinforcing the sector's critical role in the broader economy.

As pension contributions increase, there is a greater opportunity to explore well-structured, risk-mitigated investments that align with national economic priorities. Diversification into alternative investments, when done prudently, can unlock new growth avenues while maintaining the security and liquidity necessary to protect retirees' savings.

For instance, a growing pension fund presents a prime opportunity for infrastructure development. Long-term projects such as roads, airports, and housing offer stable returns that align well with pension funds' investment horizons. The success of such investments will depend on strategic collaboration between pension funds, policymakers, and the private sector - perhaps public-private partnerships. But first, regulatory bottlenecks must be addressed and clear frameworks established for the pension funds to be encouraged to deploy capital into projects that drive sustainable infrastructural development.

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Higher pension contributions also mean increased participation in capital markets. A larger pool of pension assets translates to greater demand for equities and fixed-income securities, which can bolster stock market activity and provide businesses with improved access to financing. This, in turn, fosters corporate growth, job creation, and economic expansion.

Last year, pension fund investments proved highly profitable, with returns reaching a 12-year high of 28 percent, primarily driven by equities and fixed-income securities. With an expanded asset base, pension funds can deepen their role in capital markets, enhancing liquidity and stability in the financial sector.

The real estate sector stands to benefit as well. Pension funds have, in the past, had a strong footprint in commercial and residential developments, and with additional capital, they can contribute further to addressing the country's housing needs. However, given regulatory caps on real estate investments, funds must maintain a balanced portfolio to prevent overexposure while still leveraging opportunities in the property market.

Beyond traditional asset classes, increased pension funds could indirectly support agriculture and manufacturing--two vital pillars of Kenya's economy. With cautious but structured investments in private equity and alternative asset classes, pension funds could help finance agribusiness ventures and manufacturing startups that align with the country's industrialization goals. Supporting these sectors can drive job creation, improve supply chain resilience, and enhance overall economic productivity.

Clearly, the growing pension pot holds a lot of potential. Still, pension players will often cite regulatory constraints as a key barrier to broader investment. Retirement Benefits Authority's (RBA's) regulations are in place to ensure pension funds do not take on excessive risk, preserving contributors' savings. Even where the RBA permits greater diversification, allocations to alternative asset classes remain below their potential. The perceived risks associated with investments such as private equity, private debt, and infrastructure--combined with historically conservative strategies driven by fiduciary responsibility--have limited pension funds' participation in private capital markets. As a result, the industry has been slow to develop the technical expertise required to navigate these asset classes successfully.

This begs the question: Can fund managers must strike a balance between security and growth, aligning investment decisions with national priorities while maintaining the core mandate of financial security for retirees?

Opportunities exist but the current investment strategies could use some shrewd tweaking if pension funds are to be the drivers of progress. And this must always be done within the framework of sound asset management, ensuring that investments are for-profit, sensibly liquid, and well-managed for long-term stability.

Mr Wafubwa is the CEO, Enwealth Financial Services

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