Could Opposition Secure a Shock Victory in Tanzania's Election?

Tanzanians will go to the polls on 28 October, for many political observers the outcome is already known. President John Magufuli will win a second term in office, bolstered by the benefits of incumbency and supported by the country's best-resourced political party, Chama cha Mapinduzi (CCM). This confidence derives from the fact that since winning the 2015 election with 58.46%, Magufuli has progressively consolidated his grip on power. His administration has targeted opposition members with intimidation, concocted charges and jail sentences. Many of Tanzania's opposition politicians, however, argue otherwise. They insist that, against all the odds, there is still the possibility of a shock result. Having suppressed the usual channels for expressing grievances, would President Magufuli know if he was unpopular before it's too late,? writes Dastan Kweka for African Arguments.

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