Africa Risks Becoming the Greatest Casualty of Russia's War in Ukraine

Wheat fields in midsummer in Ukraine, Oblast Lviv.
analysis

Ukraine supplies a tenth of global wheat exports and about 95% of those exports left the country through the Black Sea ports. Russia has blocked the export of millions of tonnes of grain from these ports. The failure to open these ports could result in famine in parts of Africa.

Large parts of Africa face an "unprecedented food emergency" in 2022, according to the World Food Programme.

Ukraine and Russia account for around one-third of the world's grain supply, and Ukraine was projected to produce more than 80 million tonnes of grain in 2022 -- at least, before the war. Ukraine has also routinely supplied over half of world exports in vegetable oil.

These are staple products, and when prices go up, the poorest are always the most vulnerable.

Since the Russian invasion of 24 February, wheat prices have increased by more than a third. In South Africa, for example, maize prices are up by over 40%, and vegetable oil prices by 75%.

In Ethiopia, food prices rose over 40% in April compared with the same month the previous year. The IMF forecasts that consumer prices will rise by around 12% in sub-Saharan Africa this year -- the highest rate...

AllAfrica publishes around 400 reports a day from more than 100 news organizations and over 500 other institutions and individuals, representing a diversity of positions on every topic. We publish news and views ranging from vigorous opponents of governments to government publications and spokespersons. Publishers named above each report are responsible for their own content, which AllAfrica does not have the legal right to edit or correct.

Articles and commentaries that identify allAfrica.com as the publisher are produced or commissioned by AllAfrica. To address comments or complaints, please Contact us.