Nigeria: Economic Hardship - Nigeria's Online Stores Battle Revenue Decline

15 August 2024

...As Shoppers're becoming more budget-conscious

The Nigerian e-commerce sector, once hailed as a beacon of hope in Africa's digital economy, now stands at a crossroads.

Despite the sector's potential, projected by the Nigerian Communications Commission to reach a market value of $22 billion by 2024, many players are grappling with dwindling revenues and escalating operating losses. In a country beset by economic instability, with currency devaluation and soaring inflation, companies like Jumia, Jiji, and Konga are weathering a storm that threatens to upend the industry's rapid growth.

A Market under siege

The allure of Nigeria's e-commerce market lies in its vast, untapped potential. With unrestricted access to smartphones and the proliferation of mobile money, more Nigerians are embracing online shopping.

However, these advantages are now overshadowed by a harsh economic reality. Currency devaluation, rising inflation, and an ongoing economic recession are squeezing the disposable income of Nigerians, making consumers more budget-conscious than ever.

In the second quarter of 2024, Africa's e-commerce giant Jumia reported a staggering $20.2 million operating loss, a 17 percent decline in revenue compared to the same period last year. Although Jumia managed to reduce its losses by eight percent year-over-year, the decline in gross merchandise value, GMV, by five percent signals deeper issues. The company's struggles are emblematic of the broader challenges facing the sector, where even established players are finding it difficult to stay afloat.

Strategies of resilience

Despite the bleak financial reports, Jumia's Group CEO, Francis Dufay, remains optimistic.

Under his leadership, the company has pursued an aggressive cost-cutting strategy, including shedding 900 jobs and shuttering unprofitable ventures like Jumia Foods. "Our performance this quarter reinforces our belief that our strategy is working," Dufay asserted, pointing to a disciplined approach in marketing and customer engagement as key factors in Jumia's gradual march towards profitability.

Jumia's payment service, JumiaPay, has been a rare bright spot, recording a 31 percent increase in transactions in Q2 2024. The integration of JumiaPay on delivery services and targeted cashback incentives have helped sustain customer interest, even as purchasing power diminishes.

However, Jumia is not alone in this battle for survival. Jiji, another major player in the Nigerian e-commerce space, has also had to adapt to the shifting economic landscape. According to Jiji's Chief Operating Officer, Maxim Makarchuk, the company has seen significant growth despite the downturn, with over 12 million monthly unique visits and more than four million active ads on the platform.

Makarchuk attributes this success to Jiji's investment in tech-driven solutions and a keen focus on enhancing customer experience through efficient price comparison features and regular promotions.

"We believe the industry will continue to grow, driven by increasing internet penetration, mobile adoption, and the demand for affordable and convenient online shopping," Makarchuk said.

His optimism mirrors that of his peers, who see the current challenges as temporary hurdles in an otherwise promising market.

A decade of resilience

Konga, Nigeria's omnichannel e-commerce platform, offers a case study in resilience. Since its acquisition by Zinox in 2018, Konga has expanded its operations to include KongaPay, Konga Travels and Tours, Konga Health, Konga Corporate, and Konga Logistics.

This diversification has helped Konga navigate the turbulent economic waters better than many of its competitors.

Konga's Corporate and Marketing Communications Manager, Mr. Chimezie Orisakwe, acknowledges that customer behavior has shifted dramatically in response to the economic downturn.

He said: "Customers all over Nigeria prioritize what's most important, impacting average order value, AOV, order count, and revenue," Orisakwe explained.

Yet, Konga has leveraged its expansive logistics and warehousing infrastructure to offer competitive prices and maintain customer loyalty.

Looking ahead, Orisakwe is confident that Konga's focus on affordability, convenience, and customer trust will drive continued growth.

"As we continue to expand, our scope of offerings will grow in variety, simplicity, and convenience," he said, outlining a future where Konga remains a dominant force in Nigerian e-commerce.

The future of Nigerian e-commerce

The Nigerian e-commerce industry stands at a critical juncture. While the economic challenges are formidable, the resilience displayed by companies like Jumia, Jiji, and Konga suggests that the sector's potential remains vast. With increasing internet penetration and mobile adoption, there is a strong foundation for future growth. However, to survive and thrive, these companies must continue to innovate, adapt to changing consumer behaviors, and navigate the complexities of Nigeria's volatile economic environment.

For now, the battle for survival continues, with each company deploying its unique strategy to weather the storm. As customers become more budget-conscious, the true test will be whether these e-commerce giants can offer the right balance of affordability, convenience, and trust to keep the Nigerian online shopper engaged in the face of mounting economic pressures.

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