Nigeria: Halt Petrol Imports Before They Drain Forex Reserves, Group Urges Tinubu

16 March 2026

An energy policy group has urgently appealed to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu to reconsider newly approved petrol import permits, warning they could drain Nigeria's precious foreign exchange reserves and derail the government's economic stabilisation efforts amid ongoing naira reforms.

The group, Energy Transparency and Market Justice Initiative (ETMJI), urged President Tinubu to reconsider the wider economic consequences of the newly issued permits that allow marketers to import petrol into the country, warning that the move could undermine Nigeria's efforts to strengthen domestic refining and stabilise the economy.

In a statement on Sunday in Abuja, it said the approvals granted by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) could produce unintended consequences if not carefully managed.

The group's president, Dr Salako Kareem, said Nigeria was at a delicate moment in its energy transition and that policy choices made now would determine whether the country finally escapes its decades-long dependence on imported refined petroleum products.

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Kareem said that while the regulator's responsibility to guarantee an adequate fuel supply is understood, expanding import permissions at this stage could weaken the policy direction needed to encourage local production and long-term sector stability.

"Our respectful appeal to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu is that decisions concerning petrol importation must be carefully weighed against their long-term economic consequences," Kareem said.

"Nigeria has spent decades trying to overcome the paradox of being a major crude oil producer while relying heavily on imported refined products. Any policy action that appears to reopen the floodgates of importation may slow down the progress that has been made toward strengthening domestic refining capacity."

He warned that increasing petrol imports could place additional pressure on the country's foreign exchange reserves, especially at a time when the government is pursuing difficult economic reforms aimed at stabilising the naira and improving fiscal discipline.

"For many years, the country has lost enormous volumes of foreign exchange importing petroleum products that could ideally be refined locally," Kareem said.

"If import volumes begin to rise again, the demand for foreign currency will inevitably grow. This could place renewed strain on the naira and undermine the broader economic stabilisation programme that the government is currently pursuing."

The group also warned that excessive reliance on imported petrol could create opportunities for product dumping and the entry of substandard fuel into the Nigerian market, a challenge that has troubled regulators and consumers in the past.

According to Kareem, Nigeria's downstream sector has historically struggled with quality control issues whenever importation becomes widespread, because imported fuel often travels through multiple intermediaries before reaching domestic depots.

"One of the lessons from the past is that when imports dominate the supply chain, the market sometimes becomes vulnerable to the dumping of inferior petroleum products," he said.

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