Nigerian Naira Strengthens Amid Volatile Fx Turnover and S&p Rating Upgrade

The naira strengthened against the US dollar on October 6, 2026, closing at N1,331.50 per dollar on the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM). This marked a gain of N1.40 from its previous close of N1,332.90 per dollar recorded on October 5. The currency's movement occurred amid continued volatility in foreign exchange market activity observed at the start of October.

During the October 6 trading session, the naira exchanged hands between N1,330 and N1,333 per dollar, demonstrating a relatively narrow three-naira range of movement. The closing rate of N1,331.50 per dollar was supported by a weighted average rate of N1,330.8745 per dollar. These relatively narrow exchange-rate movements contrast sharply with the wider fluctuations recorded in daily market turnover, indicating a divergence in market dynamics.

Daily NFEM turnover has shown significant variation in recent sessions, with trading activity ranging widely from $196.68 million to $619.22 million. On October 5, the market recorded a substantial turnover of $619.22 million across 287 deals. This figure was notably higher than the $569.80 million turnover from 249 deals reported on October 2, highlighting inconsistent market liquidity. The Central Bank of Nigeria had not reported the NFEM total turnover for October 6 as of the time of the report.

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The figures indicate that daily market liquidity and transaction volumes have been uneven, even though the naira has remained within a relatively tight range. This dynamic is important for investors and businesses seeking predictability and sufficient depth in the foreign exchange market for their operations. The latest currency movement coincides with broader signals of improved confidence in Nigeria's economic outlook from international institutions.

S&P Global Ratings recently upgraded Nigeria's long-term foreign and local currency credit ratings to 'B' from 'B-', a significant development for the country's financial standing. The ratings agency cited improvements associated with the country's ongoing reforms and positive foreign-exchange developments as reasons for the upgrade. This indicates a growing positive external perception of Nigeria's economic adjustments and their potential impact on stability.

Key Takeaways

The recent strengthening of the naira to N1,331.50 per dollar on October 6, 2026, on the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) offers a snapshot of the complex dynamics currently at play in Nigeria's currency landscape. While the daily exchange rate itself has shown relatively narrow movements, trading within a tight three-naira range, the underlying market activity tells a different story. Daily NFEM turnover has experienced significant volatility, swinging widely from $196.68 million to $619.22 million in recent sessions.

This divergence between a relatively stable exchange rate and uneven market liquidity, characterized by fluctuating transaction volumes, suggests that the market is still finding its equilibrium amidst ongoing reforms. The uneven liquidity could pose challenges for businesses and investors requiring consistent access to foreign exchange, even as the headline rate appears more settled. This currency movement also comes at a time when international institutions are signaling improved confidence in Nigeria's economic trajectory. Notably, S&P Global Ratings recently upgraded Nigeria's credit ratings to 'B' from 'B-', specifically citing improvements associated with the country's reforms and foreign-exchange developments. This external validation underscores the potential positive impact of the government's policy adjustments, even as the domestic market continues to navigate periods of uneven liquidity and turnover. The interplay between these factors will remain crucial for Nigeria's economic stability and investor sentiment moving forward.

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