East Africa's New Love Affair With Geothermal Energy

Hot water exits from the pipe seen on the far right, which in the future will run the turbines for a new geothermal unit at Kenya's Olkaria V Power Station.
26 January 2024

Until recently, there had been little interest in geothermal power in East Africa. But Kenya's trailblazing energy transformation policy is now inspiring others.

Kenya isn't exactly known for its bountiful thermal spas -- but the East Africa nation has ambitious plans to expand geothermal energy sources for eco-friendly electricity.

The Great Rift Valley -- a geological formation running 6,000 kilometers from Eritrea to Mozambique -- offers bountiful opportunities: Not only is this area rich in geothermal activity underneath the earth's surface, the earth's crust is also particularly thin here, making exploration relatively easy.

The Olkaria geothermal electric plant is a perfect example: the facility spans across roughly 200 square kilometers in the region, and since it first started operating in 1981, the plant has grown several times to exploit this clean energy source for Kenyans.

Today, Olkaria can deliver close to 900 Megawatt -- but that's nothing compared to the government's latest plans to produce close to 5,000 Megawatt by the end of the of the decade.

And even that number represents only about half of Kenya's full geothermal potential.

A green future for Kenya -- and beyond

Expanding the use of geothermal power plays a crucial role in Kenya's objective to produce exclusively environmentally friendly electricity by 2030.

Geothermal power is widely seen as a silver bullet for the longterm transformation of meeting energy needs. The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) puts the so-called capacity factor for geothermal energy at over 80%; this refers to the value measures of how reliably a power source can sustainably supply electricity over time.

In comparison, IRENA calculates less than 20% for solar energy.

"The countries with the greatest potential in this field are clearly Kenya and Ethiopia," says vulcanologist Jacques Varet, who has for decades consulted on geothermal issues in East Africa.

In contrast to Ethiopia, "Kenia has been investing in geothermal energy for a long time," he told DW.

Ethiopia also hopes to expand the use of geothermal plants in the future with some help from Kenya -- Africa's leader in geothermal energy investment.

Ethiopia has one small geothermal energy facility, which has been operating since 1998.

Simple -- but expensive

The physics behind the operation of geothermal plants are fairly straight-forward: geothermal steam, which is a mixture of water and minerals, shoots out of a artificial borehole in the ground and is diverted into a machine, which works like a turbine.

This turbine -- hardly bigger than a car -- is linked up to a generator, which then produces electricity.

The process involves hardly any carbon emissions, which is why geothermal energy is considered a source of green energy.

Research teams at Olkaria are testing several new boreholes with a view to expand the power plant.

Anna Mwangi, a geologist working at the majority government-owned utility company KenGen, explains the importance of fully testing the capacities of these boreholes before entering any further commitment:

"Sometimes we're lucky, and we'll complete a boring project for only about $4 million (€3.7 million). But if we run into subterranean issues, the exploration bill could be as high as 7 or 8 million dollars," she told DW.

There are currently 322 exploratory boreholes in Olkaria, each costing KenGen about $6 million to dig.

Adding to the costs are the high health and safety requirements, because the pressurized water found in these boreholes can reach temperatures of up to several hundred degrees centigrade.

Digging deeper -- mostly into pockets

This biggest production expense is the specialized boring equipment, which otherwise is only used for exploring fossil fuel sources.

"The main issues for exploring geothermal energy are: Does a government or a private corporation have the required capital to afford such a borer? That's the only way to truly assess the full potential of a geothermal area. You simply have to dig," says Antony Karembu, a senior energy economist working for the African Development Bank Group, AfDB.

The costs for renting those machines have actually dropped in recent years, as the rate of exploration of oil and other fossil fuels has plummeted amid a rise in the use of green energies.

These high costs are coupled with unknown risks, such as a low yield or changes in geothermal activity due to tectonic shifts, meaning newcomers to the geothermal game often are hesitant to invest their funds.

Geothermal intentions

The Kenyan government established the state-run Geothermal Development Company in 2008, which Karembu says serves as an insurance policy of sorts, with the government safeguarding all financial risks involved in exploration activities.

Geothermal energy enthusiasm since grown, with development partners like the AfDB also being brought on board.

The African Union has also introduced a dedicated fund to cover the financial risks involved in geothermal exploration with non-governmental and private investors; one of the contributors to this fund is the German development bank, KfW.

"They (the AU) provide grants for private companies to commit to exploratory borings," Karembu explains.

The 'great rift' in the geothermal game

It has become easier for East African countries to explore geothermal energy technologies: Burundi, Rwanda, Zambia, Tanzania and Uganda have all announced plans to launch exploration projects.

However, Varet stresses that Kenya still leads the pack by a long stretch.

"Kenya's scientists have established really high standards over time with their engineers, vulcanologists and the like. There just aren't that many of those professionals in places like neighboring Ethiopia, despite the fact that the potential (of geothermal energy) there is huge," Varet said.

Ethiopia is hoping to start catching up, says Karembu: "A private exploration project called Tulu Moye has commissioned KenGen to conduct borings in Ethiopia."

From Kenya into the world

Still, Kenya retaines the best accumulated know-how in Africa's geothermal industry, an asset it can sell not only to Ethiopia but use throughout the region, says Karembu. He himself used to work for KenGen:

"They (KenGen) have managed to really build up great internal expertise, which they have then made us of as consultant in places like the Comoros or Djibouti."

By expanding to other parts of Africa, Kenya's experts are also bringing new insights back home.

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