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What Fate Awaits South Africa's Ruling Party if President Goes?

Much ink will be spilt and tweets posted about the future of South Africa's President Cyril Ramaphosa, his governing African National Congress (ANC) party, and South Africa in the coming weeks and months, writes Jakkie Cilliers for The Institutre of Security Studies.

On December 2, 2022 the president was reportedly dissuaded from resigning, based on the damage it would wreak on the ANC - a party suffering declining support and already in a crisis of corruption, patronage and divisive politics.

The events followed a damning report that found sufficient grounds to consider impeachment. Written by an independent panel appointed by the National Assembly, the report concluded that Ramaphosa may have violated the constitution and could be guilty of serious misconduct. This related to the theft of a large amount of foreign currency from his Phala Phala game farm in 2020 and that the theft was not reported to the police.

Additionally, the National Assembly Programming Committee has postponed the debate on the Section 89 Panel Report. The independent panel, led by retired Chief Justice Sandile Ngcobo, investigated whether there is sufficient evidence to show that Ramaphosa violated Section 89 of the Constitution, in relation to his conduct when the robbery took place at his Phala Phala game farm.

South Africa: What Does a Wounded Ruling Party Mean for South Africa's Prospects?

ISS, 6 December 2022

Amidst debates about presidential impeachment, the main question is how far ANC support will fall in the 2024 elections. Read more »
South Africa: 'We Will Not Throw Ramaphosa Into the Dragon's Den' - Energy Minister

Scrolla, 8 December 2022

Mineral resources minister Gwede Mantashe has instructed all 230 ANC MPs to toe the line and vote against the adoption of the Phala Phala report or else face the wrath of the… Read more »
South Africa: What Is RET and What Does It Want? The Radical Economic Transformation Faction Explained

The Conversation Africa, 7 December 2022

It has been standard for some years, in any analysis of South Africa's governing party, the African National Congress (ANC), to refer to the "radical economic transformation" (RET)… Read more »
South Africa: Phala Phala Debate Postponed

Scrolla, 6 December 2022

As President Cyril Ramaphosa fights for his political survival amid the blazing Phala Phala flames Parliament pushed the debate of the Section 89 panel report to next Tuesday. Read more »
South Africa: National Assembly Postpones Debate On Section 89 Panel Report

SAnews.gov.za, 6 December 2022

The National Assembly Programming Committee (NAPC) has postponed to next week Tuesday the debate on the Section 89 Panel Report, which looks into the robbery at the Phala Phala… Read more »
South Africa: South Africa's President Asks Court to Overturn Report Recommending Impeachment Inquiry

VOA, 6 December 2022

South Africa's President Cyril Ramaphosa is asking the country's Constitutional Court to overturn a parliamentary report that says he may have broken the law and could lead to his… Read more »
South Africa: NEC's Decision to Quash Phala Phala Panel Report Proves the ANC Is (Still) the Only Game in Town

Daily Maverick, 5 December 2022

The ANC's supremacy allows the party to retain all of the power without giving up any to other parties. And it means that any decisions about President Cyril Ramaphosa's future… Read more »
South Africa: Ramaphosa Challenges Allegations of Corruption

DW, 5 December 2022

South Africa's embattled leader Cyril Ramaphosa is seeking to annul a bombshell report in court after calls for his removal grew louder. His ANC party has vowed to back him on any… Read more »