The Cost of Future Conflict in Sudan

Publisher:
Aegis Trust
Publication Date:
25 November 2010
Tags:
Sudan, Conflict, Peace and Security, Governance, Peacekeeping and Conflict Resolution

‘The Cost of Future Conflict in Sudan’, a new report that Crisis Action has helped facilitate to demonstrate and quantify the economic costs of war both to Sudan, the regional economies and the international community.  The report recognizes the difficulties in measuring the costs of potential future conflict. It provides different scenarios – low, medium, high conflict scenarios and a peace scenario – and models four different paths of economic growth. The report concludes that while there may be some positive impacts on the region from investment being redirected from Sudan, the evidence suggests the net impact of conflict would be significantly negative. In particular, costs would include US$50billion to Sudan itself in lost GDP, US$25billion of GDP relative to a more stable situation in neighbouring countries; and US$30 billion in peacekeeping and humanitarian costs to the international community.

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