Prospects For The G5 Sahel Countries To 2040

Institute for Security Studies
Publication Date:
5 December 2019
Africa, West Africa, Burkina Faso, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Climate, Environment, Governance, Peacekeeping and Conflict Resolution, Sustainable Development

The G5 Sahel countries - Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania and Niger - are confronted with multiple challenges. This report uses the International Futures forecasting system to analyse the likely development trajectory of these five countries to 2040 in agriculture, demographics, infrastructure, governance and education. It compares these prospects with the combined impact of a positive Desert Flower scenario and a dystopian Sahelistan scenario and presents recommendations for the future.


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The Sahel region of West Africa is buffeted by accelerated climate change and the spread of deserts, by the rapid growth of an increasingly youthful population, and by all the ... Read more »

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