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October 15
Chad: New Cameroonian Army Camps Alone Won't Secure Lake Chad
Much-needed military reinforcements against Boko Haram must be matched by sustained territorial control and well-coordinated operations. Read more »
October 14
Libya: Libya's Arsenals Are a Blind Spot in the Tripoli Agreement
Disbanding militias is key to Libya's reunification, but could lead to weapons stockpiles being trafficked into neighbouring countries. Read more »
October 09
Africa: How Houthi Military Aggression in the Red Sea Threatens Africa
Growing ties between the Houthis and al-Shabaab could turn Red Sea instability into a more dangerous security threat for Africa. Read more »
October 06
Africa: Russia's Military Recruitment Networks Exploit Western Tech Platforms
African countries face an uphill battle in holding digital companies accountable for the use of their platforms in Russia's war effort. Read more »
October 05
Mozambique: Mozambique's Army Is Losing a Crucial Counter-Insurgency Battle
Foreign training has strengthened the army, but abuses against civilians undermine the community support needed to defeat insurgents. Read more »
September 16
Uganda: Uganda's Military Takes Centre Stage in Museveni Succession
The increased influence of Museveni's son in government and his position as military chief threaten Uganda's democracy. Read more »
September 02
Mali: Can Mali's Fla-Jnim Insurgent Alliance Survive Its Internal Divisions?
The two armed groups are currently united in their opposition to the government, but fundamental differences could break their bond. Read more »
August 19
Chad: Chad's Quiet Return to French Military Support
Chad's rapprochement clashes with its recent emphasis on national sovereignty and risks reviving insecurity among neighbours and disillusionment at home. Read more »
August 03
Cameroon: Boko Haram's Cameroonian Commanders Are Extending the Group's Reach
Boko Haram's growing reliance on Cameroonian leaders is fuelling attacks in the country and strengthening the group's resilience. Read more »
July 24
South Sudan: Arms Smuggling - a Key Threat to South Sudan's December Elections
South Sudan's fragile transition is increasingly shaped by forces beyond its borders that drive illicit arms flows into the country. Read more »
July 17
Central Africa: Central Africa's Shifting Alliances Between Armies and Armed Groups
State security forces, militias and vigilante groups increasingly overlap, making insecurity more profitable and conflict harder to resolve. Read more »
June 30
Congo-Kinshasa: Does Tshisekedi's Third-Term Bid Benefit Rwanda and M23?
A loss of democratic credibility would undercut diplomatic gains and strengthen M23's demands for autonomy in eastern DRC. Read more »
June 01
Africa: Why Military Gains Are Not Weakening the ADF in Eastern DRC
The ADF's resilience stems from kidnapping economies, forced recruitment and governance failures that military operations cannot address alone. Read more »
May 27
Nigeria: Will the U.S.-Nigeria Targeting of ISWAP's Deputy Weaken Terrorism?
International and local experience shows that targeted leader killings tend to have more symbolic than practical impact. Read more »
May 12
Congo-Kinshasa: Can Civilians Fill the Peacekeeping Gap in Eastern DR Congo?
If formally recognised, unarmed civilian protection and community-based early warning can offer a path to sustaining stability and security amid troop withdrawals. Read more »
April 01
Africa: Lessons From Rwanda's Threat to Withdraw From Cabo Delgado
Kigali's threat to remove its security forces exposes the limits of Mozambique's fragile, natural resource-driven security strategy. Read more »
March 20
Madagascar: The Madagascar Upheaval - Coup, Revolution or 'Coupvolution'?
Coups in the Sahel set a discouraging precedent for whether Madagascar's military leader will leave office in two years. Read more »
March 04
West Africa: Will the AES Unified Force Succeed Where the G5 Sahel Failed?
For Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger's new force to succeed, relations with neighbouring countries need to be rebuilt. Read more »
February 27
Zimbabwe: Zanu-PF Aims to Recycle Mnangagwa Through a 'Constitutional Coup'
A constitutional amendment could give Zimbabwe's president at least another two years in office, continuing Africa's growing trend of lawfare. Read more »
February 26
Africa: Could Soldiers Provide Room for Real Gang and Organised Crime Violence Reductions?
The value of army deployments depends on whether they are used to build the capabilities needed for lasting violence reduction. Read more »
February 17
Africa: Could Africa's Youth Bulge Help Fill Europe's Military Ranks?
Military recruitment increasingly reflects the same demand-supply dynamics that shape global civilian migration. Read more »
February 05
Africa: U.S. Airstrikes Were a Constrained Choice for Nigeria
The American operation exposes the risks to Africa posed by AFRICOM's push for relevance under Trump's second term. Read more »
February 02
Nigeria: Nigeria's Hybrid Threat That Attracted U.S. Missile Fire
Sustained pressure and cross-border operations, not sporadic airstrikes, are needed to halt the group's rapid transnational expansion. Read more »
January 30
Africa: Lessons for Africa From U.S. Military Action in Venezuela
Had Maduro enjoyed undisputed electoral legitimacy, his capture by a foreign power would have been far more costly. Read more »
January 27
Africa: Rwanda - a 'Smart Power' Without a Regional Peace Strategy
Rwanda's military dominance in the Great Lakes Region deters countries from sending troops to help stabilise eastern DRC. Read more »
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