May 27
Nigeria: Will the U.S.-Nigeria Targeting of ISWAP's Deputy Weaken Terrorism?
International and local experience shows that targeted leader killings tend to have more symbolic than practical impact. Read more »
May 14
Somalia: How the Iran War Could Derail Somalia's Fragile Recovery
Somalia faces more than spillover effects - these shocks are pushing the country's long-term recovery further out of reach. Read more »
May 12
Congo-Kinshasa: Can Civilians Fill the Peacekeeping Gap in Eastern DR Congo?
If formally recognised, unarmed civilian protection and community-based early warning can offer a path to sustaining stability and security amid troop withdrawals. Read more »
April 20
Africa: Counter-Terrorism Lessons to Avoid a Lake Chad Basin Scenario in Borgu-Kainji
Reactive counter-terrorism posture risks entrenching armed groups in a new corridor linking northwest to southwest Nigeria. Read more »
April 15
Sudan: Justice in Sudan Cannot Wait for the War to End
Planning a comprehensive, nationally grounded transitional justice process for Sudan must start sooner rather than later. Read more »
April 14
Senegal: Digital Radicalisation in Senegal - Early Warning of an Evolving Terror Threat
As the risk of jihadist influence grows in southeastern Senegal, the digital dimension must be integrated into terrorism prevention strategies. Read more »
April 01
Africa: Lessons From Rwanda's Threat to Withdraw From Cabo Delgado
Kigali's threat to remove its security forces exposes the limits of Mozambique's fragile, natural resource-driven security strategy. Read more »
March 30
South Sudan: Race Against Time to Stabilise South Sudan As Elections Loom
With the window for holding meaningful elections fast closing, can the three initiatives underway deliver more than previous efforts? Read more »
March 27
Africa: Can the Iran War Shift the Dial On Climate Action?
The war's impact on Africa will be profound - but lessons learnt could spur a rapid energy transition to a more peaceful continent. Read more »
March 20
Madagascar: The Madagascar Upheaval - Coup, Revolution or 'Coupvolution'?
Coups in the Sahel set a discouraging precedent for whether Madagascar's military leader will leave office in two years. Read more »
March 16
West Africa: Algeria's Return to the Sahel - an Opportunity to Show AES Cohesion
Although Mali remains sceptical, Niger and Burkina Faso's thawing relationship with Algeria could pave the way for full re-engagement. Read more »
March 05
Sudan: Sudan's Civil War Exposes a Paralysed Multilateral System
What options remain when an array of sanctions and mediation efforts have failed to disrupt Sudan's war machinery? Read more »
March 04
West Africa: Will the AES Unified Force Succeed Where the G5 Sahel Failed?
For Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger's new force to succeed, relations with neighbouring countries need to be rebuilt. Read more »
February 27
Zimbabwe: Zanu-PF Aims to Recycle Mnangagwa Through a 'Constitutional Coup'
A constitutional amendment could give Zimbabwe's president at least another two years in office, continuing Africa's growing trend of lawfare. Read more »
February 26
Africa: Could Soldiers Provide Room for Real Gang and Organised Crime Violence Reductions?
The value of army deployments depends on whether they are used to build the capabilities needed for lasting violence reduction. Read more »
February 20
Africa: African Conflicts Barely Registered At Munich - but China Is Paying Attention
Last week's Munich Security Conference clearly signalled that Africa needs security alliances beyond its traditional partners. Read more »
February 18
Nigeria: Deadly Forced Evictions Add to the Security Crisis in Lagos
New development should not come at the expense of people impoverished by decades of failed urban planning. Read more »
February 17
Africa: Could Africa's Youth Bulge Help Fill Europe's Military Ranks?
Military recruitment increasingly reflects the same demand-supply dynamics that shape global civilian migration. Read more »
February 16
Sudan: Regional Protection Scheme Needed for Sudan's Displacement Crisis
The massive scale and fast pace of displacement cycles have overwhelmed support systems in Sudan and neighbouring countries. Read more »
February 06
Africa: Trump's Board of Peace Would Further Marginalise Sub-Saharan Africa
No countries from the region are represented, and the board could fragment global conflict response systems that include the AU. Read more »
February 05
Africa: U.S. Airstrikes Were a Constrained Choice for Nigeria
The American operation exposes the risks to Africa posed by AFRICOM's push for relevance under Trump's second term. Read more »
February 02
Nigeria: Nigeria's Hybrid Threat That Attracted U.S. Missile Fire
Sustained pressure and cross-border operations, not sporadic airstrikes, are needed to halt the group's rapid transnational expansion. Read more »
January 30
Africa: Lessons for Africa From U.S. Military Action in Venezuela
Had Maduro enjoyed undisputed electoral legitimacy, his capture by a foreign power would have been far more costly. Read more »
January 27
Africa: Rwanda - a 'Smart Power' Without a Regional Peace Strategy
Rwanda's military dominance in the Great Lakes Region deters countries from sending troops to help stabilise eastern DRC. Read more »
January 13
Mozambique: Dialogue Must Complement Military Action in Cabo Delgado
Rather than focusing on counter-terrorism operations, dialogue should be supported as a way to tackle local dynamics sustaining the insurgency. Read more »
Institute for Security Studies (Tshwane/Pretoria)
Website: http://www.issafrica.org/
